Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Austin's July 8 high in the mid-to-upper 90s amid a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, with southerly flow adding Gulf moisture that limits daytime heating through increased cloud cover potential and evaporative cooling. The tight spread between 96-97°F and 98-99°F outcomes reflects minor divergences in guidance on ridge strength and boundary-layer mixing, while the lower probability for 100-101°F accounts for risks of slightly stronger downslope warming or reduced humidity. Historical July averages near 97°F provide context, yet short-term variability in steering patterns and convective initiation keeps the 45-55% range outcomes closely matched ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 8. Juli?
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F oder darunter <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$45,213 Vol.
$45,213 Vol.
89°F oder darunter
Nein
90-91°F
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Nein
96-97°F
Nein
98-99°F
Ja
100-101°F
Nein
102-103 °F
Nein
104-105°F
Nein
106-107°F
Nein
108°F oder höher
Nein
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F oder darunter <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$45,213 Vol.
$45,213 Vol.
89°F oder darunter
Nein
90-91°F
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Nein
96-97°F
Nein
98-99°F
Ja
100-101°F
Nein
102-103 °F
Nein
104-105°F
Nein
106-107°F
Nein
108°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Austin's July 8 high in the mid-to-upper 90s amid a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, with southerly flow adding Gulf moisture that limits daytime heating through increased cloud cover potential and evaporative cooling. The tight spread between 96-97°F and 98-99°F outcomes reflects minor divergences in guidance on ridge strength and boundary-layer mixing, while the lower probability for 100-101°F accounts for risks of slightly stronger downslope warming or reduced humidity. Historical July averages near 97°F provide context, yet short-term variability in steering patterns and convective initiation keeps the 45-55% range outcomes closely matched ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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