Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on April 28, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast projecting this maximum under persistent cloudy skies and northerly winds, which limit solar heating and convective warming. Current observations from Beijing's meteorological stations align closely, with daytime readings peaking near this threshold amid overcast conditions that have characterized the past week, cooler than the late-April climatological average of around 22°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts reinforces stability, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clearing in the afternoon, potentially enabling brief spikes to 22°C via enhanced insolation; official end-of-day data from CMA will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 28. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 28. April?
21°C 100.0%
16°C oder darunter <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$173,718 Vol.
$173,718 Vol.
28. Apr. 2026
16°C oder darunter
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Ja
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C oder höher
Nein
21°C 100.0%
16°C oder darunter <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$173,718 Vol.
$173,718 Vol.
28. Apr. 2026
16°C oder darunter
$2,904 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$1,665 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$4,073 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$9,898 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$63,903 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$19,838 Vol.
Ja
22°C
$16,732 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$12,436 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$17,821 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$15,322 Vol.
Nein
26°C oder höher
$9,126 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on April 28, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast projecting this maximum under persistent cloudy skies and northerly winds, which limit solar heating and convective warming. Current observations from Beijing's meteorological stations align closely, with daytime readings peaking near this threshold amid overcast conditions that have characterized the past week, cooler than the late-April climatological average of around 22°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts reinforces stability, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clearing in the afternoon, potentially enabling brief spikes to 22°C via enhanced insolation; official end-of-day data from CMA will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$173,718Enddatum
28. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on April 28, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast projecting this maximum under persistent cloudy skies and northerly winds, which limit solar heating and convective warming. Current observations from Beijing's meteorological stations align closely, with daytime readings peaking near this threshold amid overcast conditions that have characterized the past week, cooler than the late-April climatological average of around 22°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts reinforces stability, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clearing in the afternoon, potentially enabling brief spikes to 22°C via enhanced insolation; official end-of-day data from CMA will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$173,718Enddatum
28. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on April 28, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast projecting this maximum under persistent cloudy skies and northerly winds, which limit solar heating and convective warming. Current observations from Beijing's meteorological stations align closely, with daytime readings peaking near this threshold amid overcast conditions that have characterized the past week, cooler than the late-April climatological average of around 22°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts reinforces stability, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clearing in the afternoon, potentially enabling brief spikes to 22°C via enhanced insolation; official end-of-day data from CMA will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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