Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 3, with 28°C leading at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 29°C or higher (25%) and 27°C (22.5%), driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks of 27–29°C. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the region has delivered above-normal autumn warmth, with clear skies and light northerly winds promoting diurnal heating from morning lows near 20°C, though increasing afternoon cloud cover introduces variability—some model runs cap at 27°C under partial shading, while sunnier scenarios push toward 29°C. Historical April averages hover around 22°C, underscoring the anomaly; watch SMN hourly updates and Aeroparque observations through late afternoon for resolution-defining peaks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 3. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 3. April?
28°C 33%
29°C oder höher 31%
27°C 22%
26°C 15%
$41,246 Vol.
$41,246 Vol.
3. Apr. 2026
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
15%
27°C
22%
28°C
33%
29°C oder höher
31%
28°C 33%
29°C oder höher 31%
27°C 22%
26°C 15%
$41,246 Vol.
$41,246 Vol.
3. Apr. 2026
19°C oder weniger
$2,864 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,534 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,668 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,569 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,675 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,199 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,135 Vol.
1%
26°C
$3,729 Vol.
15%
27°C
$3,172 Vol.
22%
28°C
$3,713 Vol.
33%
29°C oder höher
$10,086 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 3, with 28°C leading at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 29°C or higher (25%) and 27°C (22.5%), driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks of 27–29°C. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the region has delivered above-normal autumn warmth, with clear skies and light northerly winds promoting diurnal heating from morning lows near 20°C, though increasing afternoon cloud cover introduces variability—some model runs cap at 27°C under partial shading, while sunnier scenarios push toward 29°C. Historical April averages hover around 22°C, underscoring the anomaly; watch SMN hourly updates and Aeroparque observations through late afternoon for resolution-defining peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volumen
$41,246Enddatum
3. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Einspruchsfrist
Endgültig
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 3, with 28°C leading at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 29°C or higher (25%) and 27°C (22.5%), driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks of 27–29°C. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the region has delivered above-normal autumn warmth, with clear skies and light northerly winds promoting diurnal heating from morning lows near 20°C, though increasing afternoon cloud cover introduces variability—some model runs cap at 27°C under partial shading, while sunnier scenarios push toward 29°C. Historical April averages hover around 22°C, underscoring the anomaly; watch SMN hourly updates and Aeroparque observations through late afternoon for resolution-defining peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$41,246Enddatum
3. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Einspruchsfrist
Endgültig
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 3, with 28°C leading at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 29°C or higher (25%) and 27°C (22.5%), driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks of 27–29°C. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the region has delivered above-normal autumn warmth, with clear skies and light northerly winds promoting diurnal heating from morning lows near 20°C, though increasing afternoon cloud cover introduces variability—some model runs cap at 27°C under partial shading, while sunnier scenarios push toward 29°C. Historical April averages hover around 22°C, underscoring the anomaly; watch SMN hourly updates and Aeroparque observations through late afternoon for resolution-defining peaks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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