Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the spread in extended forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project Buenos Aires highs near 20°C on April 6 amid typical early autumn cooling patterns. The slight edge to 19°C stems from recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) updates indicating increased cloud cover and southerly winds from a passing frontal boundary, potentially capping peaks 1-2°C below the monthly average of 22°C. Differentiating factors include sea breeze intensification, which favors cooler 18-19°C outcomes, versus brief northerly flow boosting to 21-22°C; historical data shows 70% of April 6 highs fall 18-22°C. New SMN bulletins and model runs expected daily through April 5 could refine this uncertainty before resolution at official Ezeiza station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 6. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 6. April?
19°C 22%
20°C 21%
21°C 19%
18°C 13%
14°C oder weniger
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
13%
19°C
22%
20°C
21%
21°C
19%
22°C
12%
23°C
6%
24°C oder höher
6%
19°C 22%
20°C 21%
21°C 19%
18°C 13%
14°C oder weniger
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
13%
19°C
22%
20°C
21%
21°C
19%
22°C
12%
23°C
6%
24°C oder höher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the spread in extended forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project Buenos Aires highs near 20°C on April 6 amid typical early autumn cooling patterns. The slight edge to 19°C stems from recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) updates indicating increased cloud cover and southerly winds from a passing frontal boundary, potentially capping peaks 1-2°C below the monthly average of 22°C. Differentiating factors include sea breeze intensification, which favors cooler 18-19°C outcomes, versus brief northerly flow boosting to 21-22°C; historical data shows 70% of April 6 highs fall 18-22°C. New SMN bulletins and model runs expected daily through April 5 could refine this uncertainty before resolution at official Ezeiza station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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