Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 around 20-23°C, with a mean near 21°C, fueling the tight trader consensus favoring 21°C (29.5% implied probability), 20°C (22%), and 22°C (18.5%). A persistent high-pressure ridge aloft sustains mild autumn conditions, countering the seasonal cooling trend where early April highs typically average 22°C at Ezeiza Airport per historical Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) data. Differentiating factors include model divergences on sea breeze timing from the Río de la Plata, which could suppress peaks by 1-2°C via coastal cooling, and variable low-level cloudiness impacting solar heating. SMN's final advisory expected later today may refine resolution odds based on observational trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
21°C 32%
20°C 23%
22°C 19%
23°C 15%
$20,148 Vol.
$20,148 Vol.
4. Apr. 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
10%
20°C
23%
21°C
32%
22°C
19%
23°C
15%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
21°C 32%
20°C 23%
22°C 19%
23°C 15%
$20,148 Vol.
$20,148 Vol.
4. Apr. 2026
17°C or below
$1,535 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,133 Vol.
3%
19°C
$1,425 Vol.
10%
20°C
$1,284 Vol.
23%
21°C
$1,453 Vol.
32%
22°C
$1,390 Vol.
19%
23°C
$1,236 Vol.
15%
24°C
$1,879 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,469 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,139 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$5,205 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 around 20-23°C, with a mean near 21°C, fueling the tight trader consensus favoring 21°C (29.5% implied probability), 20°C (22%), and 22°C (18.5%). A persistent high-pressure ridge aloft sustains mild autumn conditions, countering the seasonal cooling trend where early April highs typically average 22°C at Ezeiza Airport per historical Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) data. Differentiating factors include model divergences on sea breeze timing from the Río de la Plata, which could suppress peaks by 1-2°C via coastal cooling, and variable low-level cloudiness impacting solar heating. SMN's final advisory expected later today may refine resolution odds based on observational trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Volumen
$20,148Enddatum
4. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 around 20-23°C, with a mean near 21°C, fueling the tight trader consensus favoring 21°C (29.5% implied probability), 20°C (22%), and 22°C (18.5%). A persistent high-pressure ridge aloft sustains mild autumn conditions, countering the seasonal cooling trend where early April highs typically average 22°C at Ezeiza Airport per historical Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) data. Differentiating factors include model divergences on sea breeze timing from the Río de la Plata, which could suppress peaks by 1-2°C via coastal cooling, and variable low-level cloudiness impacting solar heating. SMN's final advisory expected later today may refine resolution odds based on observational trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,148Enddatum
4. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 around 20-23°C, with a mean near 21°C, fueling the tight trader consensus favoring 21°C (29.5% implied probability), 20°C (22%), and 22°C (18.5%). A persistent high-pressure ridge aloft sustains mild autumn conditions, countering the seasonal cooling trend where early April highs typically average 22°C at Ezeiza Airport per historical Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) data. Differentiating factors include model divergences on sea breeze timing from the Río de la Plata, which could suppress peaks by 1-2°C via coastal cooling, and variable low-level cloudiness impacting solar heating. SMN's final advisory expected later today may refine resolution odds based on observational trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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