Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature reaching 27°C or higher today at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, propelled by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN)'s latest observational data and short-range forecast models showing sustained midday heating under a high-pressure ridge and high humidity. This extends yesterday's above-normal 24°C peak, with light winds and early clear skies enabling rapid warm-season-like temperature rises atypical for May's climatological average of 19°C. Model consensus points to peaks exceeding 27°C before expected afternoon thunderstorms; however, premature storm onset or increased cloud cover could realistically cap the high below this threshold, pending final end-of-day airport measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 6?
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$159,569 Vol.
$159,569 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
Yes
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$159,569 Vol.
$159,569 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature reaching 27°C or higher today at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, propelled by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN)'s latest observational data and short-range forecast models showing sustained midday heating under a high-pressure ridge and high humidity. This extends yesterday's above-normal 24°C peak, with light winds and early clear skies enabling rapid warm-season-like temperature rises atypical for May's climatological average of 19°C. Model consensus points to peaks exceeding 27°C before expected afternoon thunderstorms; however, premature storm onset or increased cloud cover could realistically cap the high below this threshold, pending final end-of-day airport measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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