Current observations at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's official measurement site, have already surpassed 26°C today, with temperatures reaching 28°C (82°F) under hazy sunshine and high-pressure stability, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. China Meteorological Administration forecasts and international models like ECMWF align with highs of 24–28°C amid light winds and moderate humidity, consistent with mid-April climatological trends where daytime peaks often exceed seasonal averages of 22–25°C due to persistent ridging aloft. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt cold front, erroneous readings, or official data revision—scenarios deemed negligible by trader consensus as the day progresses toward evening. Final airport records expected by midnight local time.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 26?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 26?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$60,170 Vol.
$60,170 Vol.
26. Apr. 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$60,170 Vol.
$60,170 Vol.
26. Apr. 2026
16°C or below
$1,144 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,734 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,324 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,961 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,915 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,432 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,664 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,815 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,101 Vol.
No
25°C
$16,909 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$12,172 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current observations at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's official measurement site, have already surpassed 26°C today, with temperatures reaching 28°C (82°F) under hazy sunshine and high-pressure stability, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. China Meteorological Administration forecasts and international models like ECMWF align with highs of 24–28°C amid light winds and moderate humidity, consistent with mid-April climatological trends where daytime peaks often exceed seasonal averages of 22–25°C due to persistent ridging aloft. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt cold front, erroneous readings, or official data revision—scenarios deemed negligible by trader consensus as the day progresses toward evening. Final airport records expected by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$60,170Enddatum
26. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current observations at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's official measurement site, have already surpassed 26°C today, with temperatures reaching 28°C (82°F) under hazy sunshine and high-pressure stability, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. China Meteorological Administration forecasts and international models like ECMWF align with highs of 24–28°C amid light winds and moderate humidity, consistent with mid-April climatological trends where daytime peaks often exceed seasonal averages of 22–25°C due to persistent ridging aloft. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt cold front, erroneous readings, or official data revision—scenarios deemed negligible by trader consensus as the day progresses toward evening. Final airport records expected by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$60,170Enddatum
26. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Current observations at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's official measurement site, have already surpassed 26°C today, with temperatures reaching 28°C (82°F) under hazy sunshine and high-pressure stability, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. China Meteorological Administration forecasts and international models like ECMWF align with highs of 24–28°C amid light winds and moderate humidity, consistent with mid-April climatological trends where daytime peaks often exceed seasonal averages of 22–25°C due to persistent ridging aloft. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt cold front, erroneous readings, or official data revision—scenarios deemed negligible by trader consensus as the day progresses toward evening. Final airport records expected by midnight local time.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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