Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a high near 26°C on June 25 in Chengdu, aligning with the market's leading implied probability, as cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the ongoing southern China monsoon pattern are expected to limit daytime heating. Seasonal baselines show late-June averages of 28–30°C, but early-month heat across China has given way to increased humidity and precipitation that can suppress peaks by 2–4°C through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with 25–27°C outcomes capturing most probability mass due to typical variability in Sichuan Basin conditions, while extremes below 24°C or above 28°C require stronger frontal systems or clear skies that current guidance does not strongly favor. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine these temperature thresholds for market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 25?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 25?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$132,084 Vol.
$132,084 Vol.
25. Juni 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$132,084 Vol.
$132,084 Vol.
25. Juni 2026
21°C or below
$746 Vol.
No
22°C
$20,303 Vol.
No
23°C
$9,129 Vol.
No
24°C
$22,502 Vol.
No
25°C
$13,163 Vol.
No
26°C
$14,887 Vol.
No
27°C
$10,754 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$21,221 Vol.
No
29°C
$11,311 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,780 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$3,290 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a high near 26°C on June 25 in Chengdu, aligning with the market's leading implied probability, as cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the ongoing southern China monsoon pattern are expected to limit daytime heating. Seasonal baselines show late-June averages of 28–30°C, but early-month heat across China has given way to increased humidity and precipitation that can suppress peaks by 2–4°C through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with 25–27°C outcomes capturing most probability mass due to typical variability in Sichuan Basin conditions, while extremes below 24°C or above 28°C require stronger frontal systems or clear skies that current guidance does not strongly favor. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine these temperature thresholds for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$132,084Enddatum
25. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a high near 26°C on June 25 in Chengdu, aligning with the market's leading implied probability, as cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the ongoing southern China monsoon pattern are expected to limit daytime heating. Seasonal baselines show late-June averages of 28–30°C, but early-month heat across China has given way to increased humidity and precipitation that can suppress peaks by 2–4°C through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with 25–27°C outcomes capturing most probability mass due to typical variability in Sichuan Basin conditions, while extremes below 24°C or above 28°C require stronger frontal systems or clear skies that current guidance does not strongly favor. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine these temperature thresholds for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$132,084Enddatum
25. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a high near 26°C on June 25 in Chengdu, aligning with the market's leading implied probability, as cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the ongoing southern China monsoon pattern are expected to limit daytime heating. Seasonal baselines show late-June averages of 28–30°C, but early-month heat across China has given way to increased humidity and precipitation that can suppress peaks by 2–4°C through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with 25–27°C outcomes capturing most probability mass due to typical variability in Sichuan Basin conditions, while extremes below 24°C or above 28°C require stronger frontal systems or clear skies that current guidance does not strongly favor. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine these temperature thresholds for market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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