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Highest temperature in Chicago on July 2?

icon for Highest temperature in Chicago on July 2?

Highest temperature in Chicago on July 2?

Juli 1

Juli 2

Juli 1

Juli 2

94-95°F 43%

92-93°F 22%

96-97°F 22%

98-99°F 7%

Polymarket
NEU

$10,547 Vol.

94-95°F 43%

92-93°F 22%

96-97°F 22%

98-99°F 7%

Polymarket
NEU

$10,547 Vol.

87°F or below

$1,396 Vol.

1%

88-89°F

$1,092 Vol.

<1%

90-91°F

$929 Vol.

4%

92-93°F

$760 Vol.

22%

94-95°F

$1,065 Vol.

43%

96-97°F

$655 Vol.

22%

98-99°F

$97 Vol.

7%

100-101°F

$769 Vol.

1%

102-103°F

$1,451 Vol.

1%

104-105°F

$790 Vol.

<1%

106°F or higher

$1,543 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and model guidance shows Chicago under a persistent heat wave with strong high pressure and southwest flow favoring highs in the mid- to upper-90s on July 2, well above the 84°F climatological normal. Official forecasts currently converge on 96–97°F, though ensemble spreads and subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary timing create the close contest between 94–95°F and 92–93°F buckets. Heat indices near 105°F underscore the thermodynamic setup, while historical July extremes above 99°F remain possible only with minimal mixing. Traders weigh the latest model runs and any revised NWS updates through tomorrow morning as the key variables that could shift resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,547
Enddatum
2. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and model guidance shows Chicago under a persistent heat wave with strong high pressure and southwest flow favoring highs in the mid- to upper-90s on July 2, well above the 84°F climatological normal. Official forecasts currently converge on 96–97°F, though ensemble spreads and subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary timing create the close contest between 94–95°F and 92–93°F buckets. Heat indices near 105°F underscore the thermodynamic setup, while historical July extremes above 99°F remain possible only with minimal mixing. Traders weigh the latest model runs and any revised NWS updates through tomorrow morning as the key variables that could shift resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,547
Enddatum
2. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Highest temperature in Chicago on July 2?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „94-95°F" mit 43%, gefolgt von „92-93°F" mit 23%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 43¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 43% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Highest temperature in Chicago on July 2?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $10.5K generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 30, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Highest temperature in Chicago on July 2?" ist „94-95°F" mit 43%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 43% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „92-93°F" mit 23%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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