Recent forecasts for Wuhan place the July 1 maximum near 29–31 °C amid lingering early-summer monsoon conditions and elevated humidity typical of the region’s subtropical climate. Model consensus shows modest variability driven by the timing and coverage of thundery showers, which can suppress daytime heating, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger insolation. Historical climatology indicates early-July highs averaging 31–33 °C, yet the current spread across 28–32 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in precise steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weight near-term ensemble guidance most heavily, with probabilities clustering where the latest deterministic runs converge while still acknowledging potential for a brief ridge or enhanced convection to shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 1. Juli?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$106,205 Vol.
$106,205 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$106,205 Vol.
$106,205 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Recent forecasts for Wuhan place the July 1 maximum near 29–31 °C amid lingering early-summer monsoon conditions and elevated humidity typical of the region’s subtropical climate. Model consensus shows modest variability driven by the timing and coverage of thundery showers, which can suppress daytime heating, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger insolation. Historical climatology indicates early-July highs averaging 31–33 °C, yet the current spread across 28–32 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in precise steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weight near-term ensemble guidance most heavily, with probabilities clustering where the latest deterministic runs converge while still acknowledging potential for a brief ridge or enhanced convection to shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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