Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate minimum temperatures around 25–27°C on July 20, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system advecting warm, humid air northward and sustaining above-average summer conditions. This setup, combined with typical July climatology featuring overnight lows near 23–25°C, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 26–28°C at 35–37.5%. Model consensus shows limited spread, though variables such as nocturnal cloud cover, urban heat retention, and any late shifts in steering flow could nudge the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest near-term refinements for traders assessing these narrow probability bands.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 20. Juli?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 20. Juli?
27°C 100.0%
21°C oder weniger <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$12,702 Vol.
$12,702 Vol.
20. Juli 2026
21°C oder weniger
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Ja
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C oder höher
Nein
27°C 100.0%
21°C oder weniger <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$12,702 Vol.
$12,702 Vol.
20. Juli 2026
21°C oder weniger
$606 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$474 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$516 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$532 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$1,251 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$3,005 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$3,345 Vol.
Ja
28°C
$1,041 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$739 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$580 Vol.
Nein
31°C oder höher
$615 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate minimum temperatures around 25–27°C on July 20, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system advecting warm, humid air northward and sustaining above-average summer conditions. This setup, combined with typical July climatology featuring overnight lows near 23–25°C, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 26–28°C at 35–37.5%. Model consensus shows limited spread, though variables such as nocturnal cloud cover, urban heat retention, and any late shifts in steering flow could nudge the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest near-term refinements for traders assessing these narrow probability bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$12,702Enddatum
20. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate minimum temperatures around 25–27°C on July 20, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system advecting warm, humid air northward and sustaining above-average summer conditions. This setup, combined with typical July climatology featuring overnight lows near 23–25°C, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 26–28°C at 35–37.5%. Model consensus shows limited spread, though variables such as nocturnal cloud cover, urban heat retention, and any late shifts in steering flow could nudge the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest near-term refinements for traders assessing these narrow probability bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,702Enddatum
20. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate minimum temperatures around 25–27°C on July 20, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system advecting warm, humid air northward and sustaining above-average summer conditions. This setup, combined with typical July climatology featuring overnight lows near 23–25°C, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 26–28°C at 35–37.5%. Model consensus shows limited spread, though variables such as nocturnal cloud cover, urban heat retention, and any late shifts in steering flow could nudge the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest near-term refinements for traders assessing these narrow probability bands.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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