Near-term forecast uncertainty for London's overnight minimum on July 20 is driving closely matched market odds across 10–17°C, as short-range models from the Met Office and ECMWF show a range of possible synoptic setups. A potential Atlantic trough or increased cloud cover could limit radiative cooling and keep lows near or above 14–16°C, while clearer, calmer conditions under high pressure would favor stronger nocturnal cooling toward 11–13°C or lower. Historical July climatology places typical London minima around 13–15°C, but current model spread and steering flow variability explain why traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities across several outcomes. New 00Z and 12Z model runs, plus updated Met Office guidance expected within 24–48 hours, will likely refine the temperature range and shift positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 20. Juli?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 20. Juli?
13°C 100.0%
9°C oder darunter <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$28,601 Vol.
$28,601 Vol.
20. Juli 2026
9°C oder darunter
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Ja
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C oder höher
Nein
13°C 100.0%
9°C oder darunter <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$28,601 Vol.
$28,601 Vol.
20. Juli 2026
9°C oder darunter
$997 Vol.
Nein
10°C
$1,571 Vol.
Nein
11°C
$3,568 Vol.
Nein
12°C
$3,348 Vol.
Nein
13°C
$9,034 Vol.
Ja
14°C
$6,830 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$1,288 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$694 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$453 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$414 Vol.
Nein
19°C oder höher
$404 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Near-term forecast uncertainty for London's overnight minimum on July 20 is driving closely matched market odds across 10–17°C, as short-range models from the Met Office and ECMWF show a range of possible synoptic setups. A potential Atlantic trough or increased cloud cover could limit radiative cooling and keep lows near or above 14–16°C, while clearer, calmer conditions under high pressure would favor stronger nocturnal cooling toward 11–13°C or lower. Historical July climatology places typical London minima around 13–15°C, but current model spread and steering flow variability explain why traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities across several outcomes. New 00Z and 12Z model runs, plus updated Met Office guidance expected within 24–48 hours, will likely refine the temperature range and shift positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$28,601Enddatum
20. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Near-term forecast uncertainty for London's overnight minimum on July 20 is driving closely matched market odds across 10–17°C, as short-range models from the Met Office and ECMWF show a range of possible synoptic setups. A potential Atlantic trough or increased cloud cover could limit radiative cooling and keep lows near or above 14–16°C, while clearer, calmer conditions under high pressure would favor stronger nocturnal cooling toward 11–13°C or lower. Historical July climatology places typical London minima around 13–15°C, but current model spread and steering flow variability explain why traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities across several outcomes. New 00Z and 12Z model runs, plus updated Met Office guidance expected within 24–48 hours, will likely refine the temperature range and shift positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$28,601Enddatum
20. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Near-term forecast uncertainty for London's overnight minimum on July 20 is driving closely matched market odds across 10–17°C, as short-range models from the Met Office and ECMWF show a range of possible synoptic setups. A potential Atlantic trough or increased cloud cover could limit radiative cooling and keep lows near or above 14–16°C, while clearer, calmer conditions under high pressure would favor stronger nocturnal cooling toward 11–13°C or lower. Historical July climatology places typical London minima around 13–15°C, but current model spread and steering flow variability explain why traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities across several outcomes. New 00Z and 12Z model runs, plus updated Met Office guidance expected within 24–48 hours, will likely refine the temperature range and shift positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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