Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 16°C for London on August 18 amid increasing cloud cover and light winds from an approaching Atlantic system, limiting radiative cooling. Ensemble model spreads and current surface pressure patterns support a most likely range of 17–19°C, consistent with market-implied probabilities that heavily favor those outcomes over cooler values. Persistent southerly flow and elevated humidity are reducing overnight temperature drops relative to August climatology, while any breaks in cloud could allow brief further cooling. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points likely to shift trader positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 18. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 18. August?
18°C 39%
17°C 21%
19°C 21%
16°C 5%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
14°C oder weniger
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
5%
17°C
21%
18°C
39%
19°C
21%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C oder höher
1%
18°C 39%
17°C 21%
19°C 21%
16°C 5%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
14°C oder weniger
$21 Vol.
3%
15°C
$47 Vol.
4%
16°C
$93 Vol.
5%
17°C
$394 Vol.
21%
18°C
$653 Vol.
39%
19°C
$849 Vol.
21%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$93 Vol.
1%
22°C
$10 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 16°C for London on August 18 amid increasing cloud cover and light winds from an approaching Atlantic system, limiting radiative cooling. Ensemble model spreads and current surface pressure patterns support a most likely range of 17–19°C, consistent with market-implied probabilities that heavily favor those outcomes over cooler values. Persistent southerly flow and elevated humidity are reducing overnight temperature drops relative to August climatology, while any breaks in cloud could allow brief further cooling. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points likely to shift trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$2,160Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 16°C for London on August 18 amid increasing cloud cover and light winds from an approaching Atlantic system, limiting radiative cooling. Ensemble model spreads and current surface pressure patterns support a most likely range of 17–19°C, consistent with market-implied probabilities that heavily favor those outcomes over cooler values. Persistent southerly flow and elevated humidity are reducing overnight temperature drops relative to August climatology, while any breaks in cloud could allow brief further cooling. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points likely to shift trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,160Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 16°C for London on August 18 amid increasing cloud cover and light winds from an approaching Atlantic system, limiting radiative cooling. Ensemble model spreads and current surface pressure patterns support a most likely range of 17–19°C, consistent with market-implied probabilities that heavily favor those outcomes over cooler values. Persistent southerly flow and elevated humidity are reducing overnight temperature drops relative to August climatology, while any breaks in cloud could allow brief further cooling. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points likely to shift trader positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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