National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high temperature near 90–93°F in Dallas today, May 5, under a high-pressure ridge following a mid-week cold front, fueling the market's 100% implied probability for 78°F or higher as traders price in overwhelming consensus from model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF. Morning observations at Dallas Love Field already show readings climbing past 72°F amid southwest winds of 10–15 mph and mostly cloudy skies transitioning to partly sunny conditions, aligning with climatological May norms around 84°F highs. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as isolated thunderstorms after 4 p.m. potentially capping peaks via cloud cover—scenarios challenging this would require anomalous cooling or widespread precipitation, deemed improbable by current NWS guidance with only a 20% chance. Real-time updates from official stations will confirm the peak by evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Dallas on May 5?
78°F or higher 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$44,326 Vol.
$44,326 Vol.
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
Yes
78°F or higher 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$44,326 Vol.
$44,326 Vol.
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 3, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high temperature near 90–93°F in Dallas today, May 5, under a high-pressure ridge following a mid-week cold front, fueling the market's 100% implied probability for 78°F or higher as traders price in overwhelming consensus from model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF. Morning observations at Dallas Love Field already show readings climbing past 72°F amid southwest winds of 10–15 mph and mostly cloudy skies transitioning to partly sunny conditions, aligning with climatological May norms around 84°F highs. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as isolated thunderstorms after 4 p.m. potentially capping peaks via cloud cover—scenarios challenging this would require anomalous cooling or widespread precipitation, deemed improbable by current NWS guidance with only a 20% chance. Real-time updates from official stations will confirm the peak by evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen