Trader consensus has coalesced around a 35°C peak for Guangzhou on June 7 due to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and observational data aligning on that threshold under typical early-June subtropical conditions. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration highlights warm, humid air masses with limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological highs near 32–34°C but nudged upward by recent model consensus. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this convergence while leaving room for modest downward revisions if heavier rainfall or stronger onshore flow develops. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from standardized stations; any last-hour convective cooling or measurement adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 7. Juni?
Höchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 7. Juni?
35°C 100.0%
26°C oder darunter <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$110,621 Vol.
$110,621 Vol.
7. Juni 2026
26°C oder darunter
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Ja
36°C oder höher
Nein
35°C 100.0%
26°C oder darunter <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$110,621 Vol.
$110,621 Vol.
7. Juni 2026
26°C oder darunter
$1,963 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$215 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$1,673 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$2,885 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$4,428 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$4,490 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$4,084 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$4,188 Vol.
Nein
34°C
$37,117 Vol.
Nein
35°C
$18,855 Vol.
Ja
36°C oder höher
$30,724 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around a 35°C peak for Guangzhou on June 7 due to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and observational data aligning on that threshold under typical early-June subtropical conditions. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration highlights warm, humid air masses with limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological highs near 32–34°C but nudged upward by recent model consensus. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this convergence while leaving room for modest downward revisions if heavier rainfall or stronger onshore flow develops. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from standardized stations; any last-hour convective cooling or measurement adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 6, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volumen
$110,621Enddatum
7. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 6, 2026, 12:14 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around a 35°C peak for Guangzhou on June 7 due to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and observational data aligning on that threshold under typical early-June subtropical conditions. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration highlights warm, humid air masses with limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological highs near 32–34°C but nudged upward by recent model consensus. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this convergence while leaving room for modest downward revisions if heavier rainfall or stronger onshore flow develops. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from standardized stations; any last-hour convective cooling or measurement adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$110,621Enddatum
7. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 6, 2026, 12:14 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus has coalesced around a 35°C peak for Guangzhou on June 7 due to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and observational data aligning on that threshold under typical early-June subtropical conditions. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration highlights warm, humid air masses with limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological highs near 32–34°C but nudged upward by recent model consensus. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this convergence while leaving room for modest downward revisions if heavier rainfall or stronger onshore flow develops. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from standardized stations; any last-hour convective cooling or measurement adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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