Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 34°C (31%), 35°C (28%), and 36°C (22.5%) for Jeddah's highest temperature on April 20, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting mid-30s Celsius highs amid a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula, ensuring clear skies and strong solar insolation. Coastal proximity to the warm Red Sea (surface temperatures ~28°C) introduces moderating sea breezes from the south, potentially capping peaks at 34-35°C, while urban heat island effects in Jeddah could push toward 36°C via enhanced boundary layer mixing. Model discrepancies in planetary boundary layer schemes account for the tight race; Saudi National Center for Meteorology updates and 12Z global model runs expected within 24 hours may refine probabilities before resolution based on official observations. Historical April climatology averages 34.5°C maxima, aligning with current trader-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Jeddah on April 20?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 20?
34°C 28%
35°C 22%
36°C 22%
37°C 21%
NEU
NEU
20. Apr. 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
8%
34°C
19%
35°C
22%
36°C
22%
37°C
20%
38°C or higher
5%
34°C 28%
35°C 22%
36°C 22%
37°C 21%
NEU
NEU
20. Apr. 2026
28°C or below
$2,035 Vol.
1%
29°C
$187 Vol.
1%
30°C
$296 Vol.
1%
31°C
$50 Vol.
1%
32°C
$82 Vol.
8%
33°C
$198 Vol.
8%
34°C
$15 Vol.
19%
35°C
$26 Vol.
22%
36°C
$4 Vol.
22%
37°C
$9 Vol.
20%
38°C or higher
$36 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 34°C (31%), 35°C (28%), and 36°C (22.5%) for Jeddah's highest temperature on April 20, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting mid-30s Celsius highs amid a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula, ensuring clear skies and strong solar insolation. Coastal proximity to the warm Red Sea (surface temperatures ~28°C) introduces moderating sea breezes from the south, potentially capping peaks at 34-35°C, while urban heat island effects in Jeddah could push toward 36°C via enhanced boundary layer mixing. Model discrepancies in planetary boundary layer schemes account for the tight race; Saudi National Center for Meteorology updates and 12Z global model runs expected within 24 hours may refine probabilities before resolution based on official observations. Historical April climatology averages 34.5°C maxima, aligning with current trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 18, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
Volumen
$2,813Enddatum
20. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 18, 2026, 12:49 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 34°C (31%), 35°C (28%), and 36°C (22.5%) for Jeddah's highest temperature on April 20, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting mid-30s Celsius highs amid a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula, ensuring clear skies and strong solar insolation. Coastal proximity to the warm Red Sea (surface temperatures ~28°C) introduces moderating sea breezes from the south, potentially capping peaks at 34-35°C, while urban heat island effects in Jeddah could push toward 36°C via enhanced boundary layer mixing. Model discrepancies in planetary boundary layer schemes account for the tight race; Saudi National Center for Meteorology updates and 12Z global model runs expected within 24 hours may refine probabilities before resolution based on official observations. Historical April climatology averages 34.5°C maxima, aligning with current trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,813Enddatum
20. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 18, 2026, 12:49 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 34°C (31%), 35°C (28%), and 36°C (22.5%) for Jeddah's highest temperature on April 20, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting mid-30s Celsius highs amid a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula, ensuring clear skies and strong solar insolation. Coastal proximity to the warm Red Sea (surface temperatures ~28°C) introduces moderating sea breezes from the south, potentially capping peaks at 34-35°C, while urban heat island effects in Jeddah could push toward 36°C via enhanced boundary layer mixing. Model discrepancies in planetary boundary layer schemes account for the tight race; Saudi National Center for Meteorology updates and 12Z global model runs expected within 24 hours may refine probabilities before resolution based on official observations. Historical April climatology averages 34.5°C maxima, aligning with current trader-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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