National Weather Service forecasts and an active heat advisory through July 16 point to a daily high near 80–82°F at Los Angeles International Airport, the official resolution site, aligning with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin at 38.5% implied probability. Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating coastal maxima despite broader Southern California warmth, keeping extremes below inland peaks of 90°F+. July climatology shows average LAX highs around 75–78°F with occasional spikes to the mid-80s during offshore wind events, but current model consensus favors stable conditions without significant warming tomorrow. Updated NWS and NOAA guidance ahead of the July 16 close will refine the final range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 16. Juli?
82-83°F 100.0%
77°F oder darunter <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$106,822 Vol.
$106,822 Vol.
77°F oder darunter
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Nein
82-83°F
Ja
84-85°F
Nein
30–30,5 °C
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90-91°F
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Nein
96°F oder höher
Nein
82-83°F 100.0%
77°F oder darunter <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$106,822 Vol.
$106,822 Vol.
77°F oder darunter
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Nein
82-83°F
Ja
84-85°F
Nein
30–30,5 °C
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90-91°F
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Nein
96°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
National Weather Service forecasts and an active heat advisory through July 16 point to a daily high near 80–82°F at Los Angeles International Airport, the official resolution site, aligning with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin at 38.5% implied probability. Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating coastal maxima despite broader Southern California warmth, keeping extremes below inland peaks of 90°F+. July climatology shows average LAX highs around 75–78°F with occasional spikes to the mid-80s during offshore wind events, but current model consensus favors stable conditions without significant warming tomorrow. Updated NWS and NOAA guidance ahead of the July 16 close will refine the final range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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