India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 35.0°C on May 10, 2026—a 4.7°C departure below the seasonal normal for this pre-monsoon period—driving the market's 100% implied probability on "35°C or below." This aligns with recent cooler trends, including a rare 28°C maximum earlier in May linked to western disturbances bringing cloud cover and light precipitation, suppressing daytime heating despite clear skies forecast. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, trusts IMD's verified station data from Lucknow observatory as the resolution source. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over peak-hour readings, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.5°C. Final IMD bulletin expected soon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 10?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 10?
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$27,628 Vol.
$27,628 Vol.
10. Mai 2026
35°C or below
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$27,628 Vol.
$27,628 Vol.
10. Mai 2026
35°C or below
$5,101 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$3,175 Vol.
No
37°C
$3,094 Vol.
No
38°C
$3,980 Vol.
No
39°C
$1,159 Vol.
No
40°C
$1,407 Vol.
No
41°C
$1,121 Vol.
No
42°C
$2,136 Vol.
No
43°C
$709 Vol.
No
44°C
$2,885 Vol.
No
45°C or higher
$2,860 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 35.0°C on May 10, 2026—a 4.7°C departure below the seasonal normal for this pre-monsoon period—driving the market's 100% implied probability on "35°C or below." This aligns with recent cooler trends, including a rare 28°C maximum earlier in May linked to western disturbances bringing cloud cover and light precipitation, suppressing daytime heating despite clear skies forecast. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, trusts IMD's verified station data from Lucknow observatory as the resolution source. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over peak-hour readings, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.5°C. Final IMD bulletin expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$27,628Enddatum
10. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 35.0°C on May 10, 2026—a 4.7°C departure below the seasonal normal for this pre-monsoon period—driving the market's 100% implied probability on "35°C or below." This aligns with recent cooler trends, including a rare 28°C maximum earlier in May linked to western disturbances bringing cloud cover and light precipitation, suppressing daytime heating despite clear skies forecast. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, trusts IMD's verified station data from Lucknow observatory as the resolution source. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over peak-hour readings, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.5°C. Final IMD bulletin expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$27,628Enddatum
10. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 35.0°C on May 10, 2026—a 4.7°C departure below the seasonal normal for this pre-monsoon period—driving the market's 100% implied probability on "35°C or below." This aligns with recent cooler trends, including a rare 28°C maximum earlier in May linked to western disturbances bringing cloud cover and light precipitation, suppressing daytime heating despite clear skies forecast. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, trusts IMD's verified station data from Lucknow observatory as the resolution source. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over peak-hour readings, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.5°C. Final IMD bulletin expected soon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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