Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble guidance points to a modest warming trend over the North Sea, positioning Amsterdam's July 7 maximum most likely near 21–23 °C amid variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and limited diurnal heating. This setup aligns with the tightly bunched market odds favoring those brackets and reflects a slightly below-average early-July pattern relative to the long-term 22 °C climatological high. Model spread at two-day range typically spans ±2 °C, driven by uncertainty in Atlantic trough positioning and boundary-layer moisture, while KNMI surface observations will provide the official resolution value. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 7. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 7. Juli?
23°C 100.0%
18°C oder niedriger <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$64,141 Vol.
$64,141 Vol.
7. Juli 2026
18°C oder niedriger
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Ja
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C oder höher
Nein
23°C 100.0%
18°C oder niedriger <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$64,141 Vol.
$64,141 Vol.
7. Juli 2026
18°C oder niedriger
$876 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$2,503 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$2,950 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$5,119 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$11,628 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$11,651 Vol.
Ja
24°C
$8,543 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$7,627 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$5,643 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$4,577 Vol.
Nein
28°C oder höher
$3,023 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble guidance points to a modest warming trend over the North Sea, positioning Amsterdam's July 7 maximum most likely near 21–23 °C amid variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and limited diurnal heating. This setup aligns with the tightly bunched market odds favoring those brackets and reflects a slightly below-average early-July pattern relative to the long-term 22 °C climatological high. Model spread at two-day range typically spans ±2 °C, driven by uncertainty in Atlantic trough positioning and boundary-layer moisture, while KNMI surface observations will provide the official resolution value. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$64,141Enddatum
7. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble guidance points to a modest warming trend over the North Sea, positioning Amsterdam's July 7 maximum most likely near 21–23 °C amid variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and limited diurnal heating. This setup aligns with the tightly bunched market odds favoring those brackets and reflects a slightly below-average early-July pattern relative to the long-term 22 °C climatological high. Model spread at two-day range typically spans ±2 °C, driven by uncertainty in Atlantic trough positioning and boundary-layer moisture, while KNMI surface observations will provide the official resolution value. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$64,141Enddatum
7. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble guidance points to a modest warming trend over the North Sea, positioning Amsterdam's July 7 maximum most likely near 21–23 °C amid variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and limited diurnal heating. This setup aligns with the tightly bunched market odds favoring those brackets and reflects a slightly below-average early-July pattern relative to the long-term 22 °C climatological high. Model spread at two-day range typically spans ±2 °C, driven by uncertainty in Atlantic trough positioning and boundary-layer moisture, while KNMI surface observations will provide the official resolution value. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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