Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, reached 28°C, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome as traders incorporated real-time data throughout the day. This peak aligned precisely with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs from April 17-18, which converged on 28°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southerly flows—conditions well above Madrid's April climatological average high of 18°C. Such strong evidence reflects the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from quality control or overlooked sensor readings could theoretically challenge resolution. No further updates expected beyond AEMET's standard 24-hour validation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Madrid on April 19?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 19?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$98,229 Vol.
$98,229 Vol.
19. Apr. 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Nein
28°C
Ja
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C oder höher
Nein
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$98,229 Vol.
$98,229 Vol.
19. Apr. 2026
21°C or below
$2,055 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,569 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,784 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,731 Vol.
No
25°C
$6,090 Vol.
No
26°C
$13,984 Vol.
No
27°C
$26,769 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$14,090 Vol.
Ja
29°C
$12,982 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$9,105 Vol.
Nein
31°C oder höher
$6,071 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, reached 28°C, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome as traders incorporated real-time data throughout the day. This peak aligned precisely with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs from April 17-18, which converged on 28°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southerly flows—conditions well above Madrid's April climatological average high of 18°C. Such strong evidence reflects the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from quality control or overlooked sensor readings could theoretically challenge resolution. No further updates expected beyond AEMET's standard 24-hour validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$98,229Enddatum
19. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, reached 28°C, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome as traders incorporated real-time data throughout the day. This peak aligned precisely with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs from April 17-18, which converged on 28°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southerly flows—conditions well above Madrid's April climatological average high of 18°C. Such strong evidence reflects the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from quality control or overlooked sensor readings could theoretically challenge resolution. No further updates expected beyond AEMET's standard 24-hour validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$98,229Enddatum
19. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, reached 28°C, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome as traders incorporated real-time data throughout the day. This peak aligned precisely with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs from April 17-18, which converged on 28°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southerly flows—conditions well above Madrid's April climatological average high of 18°C. Such strong evidence reflects the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from quality control or overlooked sensor readings could theoretically challenge resolution. No further updates expected beyond AEMET's standard 24-hour validation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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