Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21.5°C recorded at 18:10 local time on May 13, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 21°C outcome as evening cooling sets in under persistent cloud cover. This aligns with recent ECMWF and AEMET forecast updates anticipating capped highs of 20–22°C amid a lingering frontal system suppressing solar heating, cooler than May climatological averages near 23°C. With the update timestamped at 22:22 past peak diurnal warming (typically 16:00–19:00), realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher reading, though such adjustments are rare post-verification. Final daily RETAM summaries expected shortly will solidify resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Madrid on May 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 13?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$121,512 Vol.
$121,512 Vol.
13. Mai 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$121,512 Vol.
$121,512 Vol.
13. Mai 2026
16°C or below
$8,057 Vol.
No
17°C
$8,384 Vol.
No
18°C
$21,944 Vol.
No
19°C
$9,969 Vol.
No
20°C
$8,915 Vol.
No
21°C
$16,498 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$15,141 Vol.
No
23°C
$12,693 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,186 Vol.
No
25°C
$6,195 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$5,529 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21.5°C recorded at 18:10 local time on May 13, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 21°C outcome as evening cooling sets in under persistent cloud cover. This aligns with recent ECMWF and AEMET forecast updates anticipating capped highs of 20–22°C amid a lingering frontal system suppressing solar heating, cooler than May climatological averages near 23°C. With the update timestamped at 22:22 past peak diurnal warming (typically 16:00–19:00), realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher reading, though such adjustments are rare post-verification. Final daily RETAM summaries expected shortly will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 11, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$121,512Enddatum
13. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 11, 2026, 12:18 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21.5°C recorded at 18:10 local time on May 13, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 21°C outcome as evening cooling sets in under persistent cloud cover. This aligns with recent ECMWF and AEMET forecast updates anticipating capped highs of 20–22°C amid a lingering frontal system suppressing solar heating, cooler than May climatological averages near 23°C. With the update timestamped at 22:22 past peak diurnal warming (typically 16:00–19:00), realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher reading, though such adjustments are rare post-verification. Final daily RETAM summaries expected shortly will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$121,512Enddatum
13. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 11, 2026, 12:18 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21.5°C recorded at 18:10 local time on May 13, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 21°C outcome as evening cooling sets in under persistent cloud cover. This aligns with recent ECMWF and AEMET forecast updates anticipating capped highs of 20–22°C amid a lingering frontal system suppressing solar heating, cooler than May climatological averages near 23°C. With the update timestamped at 22:22 past peak diurnal warming (typically 16:00–19:00), realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher reading, though such adjustments are rare post-verification. Final daily RETAM summaries expected shortly will solidify resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen