Forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical consensus runs indicate a high near 33–34°C for July 10 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and light winds limiting overnight cooling while allowing modest daytime heating. The HKO’s July–September seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July maxima around 31°C, supporting trader focus on the 33–34°C outcomes that together exceed 60% implied probability. Short-term model spread introduces uncertainty over cloud cover or weak disturbances that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower, while any unexpected clear skies or reduced moisture might push readings toward 35–36°C. Resolution hinges on official Observatory observations at the designated station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 10. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 10. Juli?
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$247,421 Vol.
$247,421 Vol.
10. Juli 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$247,421 Vol.
$247,421 Vol.
10. Juli 2026
26°C or below
$2,268 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,917 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,772 Vol.
No
29°C
$11,868 Vol.
No
30°C
$23,692 Vol.
No
31°C
$48,434 Vol.
No
32°C
$34,769 Vol.
No
33°C
$46,963 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$36,871 Vol.
No
35°C
$22,816 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$12,050 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical consensus runs indicate a high near 33–34°C for July 10 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and light winds limiting overnight cooling while allowing modest daytime heating. The HKO’s July–September seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July maxima around 31°C, supporting trader focus on the 33–34°C outcomes that together exceed 60% implied probability. Short-term model spread introduces uncertainty over cloud cover or weak disturbances that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower, while any unexpected clear skies or reduced moisture might push readings toward 35–36°C. Resolution hinges on official Observatory observations at the designated station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$247,421Enddatum
10. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical consensus runs indicate a high near 33–34°C for July 10 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and light winds limiting overnight cooling while allowing modest daytime heating. The HKO’s July–September seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July maxima around 31°C, supporting trader focus on the 33–34°C outcomes that together exceed 60% implied probability. Short-term model spread introduces uncertainty over cloud cover or weak disturbances that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower, while any unexpected clear skies or reduced moisture might push readings toward 35–36°C. Resolution hinges on official Observatory observations at the designated station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$247,421Enddatum
10. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical consensus runs indicate a high near 33–34°C for July 10 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and light winds limiting overnight cooling while allowing modest daytime heating. The HKO’s July–September seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July maxima around 31°C, supporting trader focus on the 33–34°C outcomes that together exceed 60% implied probability. Short-term model spread introduces uncertainty over cloud cover or weak disturbances that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower, while any unexpected clear skies or reduced moisture might push readings toward 35–36°C. Resolution hinges on official Observatory observations at the designated station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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