Traders have aligned at 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin following official National Weather Service observations confirming that daily maximum at Central Park, New York City’s primary measurement site. Moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and standard May boundary-layer mixing produced afternoon warming that matched NOAA model consensus without exceeding expectations for intensification. This market-implied outcome aggregates real-capital assessments of verified data rather than projections. Only rare post-observation adjustments, such as station calibration revisions or official record corrections, could realistically alter resolution criteria.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in NYC on May 26?
80-81°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$119,651 Vol.
$119,651 Vol.
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$119,651 Vol.
$119,651 Vol.
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 24, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Traders have aligned at 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin following official National Weather Service observations confirming that daily maximum at Central Park, New York City’s primary measurement site. Moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and standard May boundary-layer mixing produced afternoon warming that matched NOAA model consensus without exceeding expectations for intensification. This market-implied outcome aggregates real-capital assessments of verified data rather than projections. Only rare post-observation adjustments, such as station calibration revisions or official record corrections, could realistically alter resolution criteria.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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