Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate a high-pressure system over western Europe will deliver Paris's highest temperature near 18°C on April 16, with partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds around 5-10 km/h, and minimal precipitation risk under 10%, positioning this outcome at 38.5% market-implied probability. This mild warmth aligns with a rebound to typical spring conditions after early April's record-breaking heat abruptly ended around April 9 with a 10°C drop, now stabilized by southerly airflow above the April climatological average of 16.1°C at stations like Paris-Montsouris. Trader sentiment reflects model consensus amid low uncertainty, though passing clouds could limit peaks to 17°C (14.5%) or boost to 19-20°C (39.5% combined) if sunnier; official hourly observations resolve the market by midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Paris on April 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 16?
18°C 40%
19°C 33%
17°C 13%
20°C 11%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
13%
18°C
40%
19°C
33%
20°C
11%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 40%
19°C 33%
17°C 13%
20°C 11%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
13%
18°C
40%
19°C
33%
20°C
11%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate a high-pressure system over western Europe will deliver Paris's highest temperature near 18°C on April 16, with partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds around 5-10 km/h, and minimal precipitation risk under 10%, positioning this outcome at 38.5% market-implied probability. This mild warmth aligns with a rebound to typical spring conditions after early April's record-breaking heat abruptly ended around April 9 with a 10°C drop, now stabilized by southerly airflow above the April climatological average of 16.1°C at stations like Paris-Montsouris. Trader sentiment reflects model consensus amid low uncertainty, though passing clouds could limit peaks to 17°C (14.5%) or boost to 19-20°C (39.5% combined) if sunnier; official hourly observations resolve the market by midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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