Model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles positions the June 13 Paris maximum near 26–27 °C under building high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light winds that favor daytime heating without strong advection. This setup, following a period of variable early June conditions, has produced the current near-certain market-implied odds for 27 °C as the official high at the primary observing station. Real-time trader consensus reflects confidence in the forecast guidance and limited uncertainty in the final hours. A modest shift in observed peak could still occur if localized cloud cover develops or if the official reading at Paris-Montsouris deviates slightly from model output due to urban heat island effects or measurement timing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Paris on June 13?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$90,074 Vol.
$90,074 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$90,074 Vol.
$90,074 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles positions the June 13 Paris maximum near 26–27 °C under building high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light winds that favor daytime heating without strong advection. This setup, following a period of variable early June conditions, has produced the current near-certain market-implied odds for 27 °C as the official high at the primary observing station. Real-time trader consensus reflects confidence in the forecast guidance and limited uncertainty in the final hours. A modest shift in observed peak could still occur if localized cloud cover develops or if the official reading at Paris-Montsouris deviates slightly from model output due to urban heat island effects or measurement timing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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