Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a persistent marine layer and fresh onshore flow moderating San Francisco’s July 17 high, keeping the most likely peak in the mid-60s. The depth and timing of coastal stratus, combined with the strength of the afternoon sea breeze, will determine whether temperatures settle near 64–65 °F or edge into the upper 60s; stronger northwest winds and a deeper inversion favor the cooler outcomes now favored by traders, while any temporary marine-layer erosion could allow brief warming toward 68–69 °F. These near-term variables explain the tight clustering around 66–67 °F at roughly 30 % implied probability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 17. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 17. Juli?
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F oder darunter <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$29,259 Vol.
$29,259 Vol.
17. Juli 2026
55°F oder darunter
Nein
56-57°F
Nein
58-59°F
Nein
60-61°F
Nein
62-63°F
Nein
64-65°F
Nein
66-67°F
Ja
20–21 °C
Nein
70-71°F
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74°F oder höher
Nein
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F oder darunter <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$29,259 Vol.
$29,259 Vol.
17. Juli 2026
55°F oder darunter
$484 Vol.
Nein
56-57°F
$688 Vol.
Nein
58-59°F
$972 Vol.
Nein
60-61°F
$3,786 Vol.
Nein
62-63°F
$5,200 Vol.
Nein
64-65°F
$3,484 Vol.
Nein
66-67°F
$4,319 Vol.
Ja
20–21 °C
$3,853 Vol.
Nein
70-71°F
$2,354 Vol.
Nein
72-73°F
$1,245 Vol.
Nein
74°F oder höher
$2,875 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a persistent marine layer and fresh onshore flow moderating San Francisco’s July 17 high, keeping the most likely peak in the mid-60s. The depth and timing of coastal stratus, combined with the strength of the afternoon sea breeze, will determine whether temperatures settle near 64–65 °F or edge into the upper 60s; stronger northwest winds and a deeper inversion favor the cooler outcomes now favored by traders, while any temporary marine-layer erosion could allow brief warming toward 68–69 °F. These near-term variables explain the tight clustering around 66–67 °F at roughly 30 % implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volumen
$29,259Enddatum
17. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a persistent marine layer and fresh onshore flow moderating San Francisco’s July 17 high, keeping the most likely peak in the mid-60s. The depth and timing of coastal stratus, combined with the strength of the afternoon sea breeze, will determine whether temperatures settle near 64–65 °F or edge into the upper 60s; stronger northwest winds and a deeper inversion favor the cooler outcomes now favored by traders, while any temporary marine-layer erosion could allow brief warming toward 68–69 °F. These near-term variables explain the tight clustering around 66–67 °F at roughly 30 % implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$29,259Enddatum
17. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a persistent marine layer and fresh onshore flow moderating San Francisco’s July 17 high, keeping the most likely peak in the mid-60s. The depth and timing of coastal stratus, combined with the strength of the afternoon sea breeze, will determine whether temperatures settle near 64–65 °F or edge into the upper 60s; stronger northwest winds and a deeper inversion favor the cooler outcomes now favored by traders, while any temporary marine-layer erosion could allow brief warming toward 68–69 °F. These near-term variables explain the tight clustering around 66–67 °F at roughly 30 % implied probability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen