Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 32°C highest temperature in Taipei on April 28, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, which recorded a peak of 32°C during afternoon hours under mostly clear skies and light winds conducive to standard diurnal heating. This aligns with CWA's latest forecast of 21–32°C highs amid near-normal April climatology, with minimal cloud cover allowing maximum solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-evening heat burst from downslope winds or a CWA data revision, though evening cooling and sunset reduce such risks as final daily reports finalize.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on April 28?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$109,813 Vol.
$109,813 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$109,813 Vol.
$109,813 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 26, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 32°C highest temperature in Taipei on April 28, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, which recorded a peak of 32°C during afternoon hours under mostly clear skies and light winds conducive to standard diurnal heating. This aligns with CWA's latest forecast of 21–32°C highs amid near-normal April climatology, with minimal cloud cover allowing maximum solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-evening heat burst from downslope winds or a CWA data revision, though evening cooling and sunset reduce such risks as final daily reports finalize.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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