Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate daytime highs near 33–35°C in Tel Aviv for August 3, 2026, under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of Mediterranean summers, with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar heating while the adjacent sea moderates extremes through afternoon sea breezes. These stable atmospheric patterns, consistent with historical early-August baselines of 31–32°C averages, position 34°C as the market leader at 60% implied probability by limiting both significant cooling and rapid intensification. Updated model runs show little deviation expected through the short-term window, though minor shifts in wind direction or humidity could still influence the final maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 3. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 3. August?
34°C 55%
33°C 25%
35°C 18%
31°C or below 2%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
31°C or below
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
25%
34°C
55%
35°C
18%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 55%
33°C 25%
35°C 18%
31°C or below 2%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
31°C or below
$30 Vol.
2%
32°C
$65 Vol.
2%
33°C
$296 Vol.
25%
34°C
$129 Vol.
55%
35°C
$316 Vol.
18%
36°C
$36 Vol.
2%
37°C
$30 Vol.
2%
38°C
$33 Vol.
1%
39°C
$55 Vol.
1%
40°C
$114 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$383 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate daytime highs near 33–35°C in Tel Aviv for August 3, 2026, under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of Mediterranean summers, with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar heating while the adjacent sea moderates extremes through afternoon sea breezes. These stable atmospheric patterns, consistent with historical early-August baselines of 31–32°C averages, position 34°C as the market leader at 60% implied probability by limiting both significant cooling and rapid intensification. Updated model runs show little deviation expected through the short-term window, though minor shifts in wind direction or humidity could still influence the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$1,488Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate daytime highs near 33–35°C in Tel Aviv for August 3, 2026, under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of Mediterranean summers, with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar heating while the adjacent sea moderates extremes through afternoon sea breezes. These stable atmospheric patterns, consistent with historical early-August baselines of 31–32°C averages, position 34°C as the market leader at 60% implied probability by limiting both significant cooling and rapid intensification. Updated model runs show little deviation expected through the short-term window, though minor shifts in wind direction or humidity could still influence the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,488Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate daytime highs near 33–35°C in Tel Aviv for August 3, 2026, under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of Mediterranean summers, with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar heating while the adjacent sea moderates extremes through afternoon sea breezes. These stable atmospheric patterns, consistent with historical early-August baselines of 31–32°C averages, position 34°C as the market leader at 60% implied probability by limiting both significant cooling and rapid intensification. Updated model runs show little deviation expected through the short-term window, though minor shifts in wind direction or humidity could still influence the final maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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