Recent forecast model consensus points to a high of 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 1, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge giving way to a westerly flow that advects cooler maritime air and increases cloud cover and shower chances. Numerical guidance from GFS and similar runs shows daytime maxima suppressed by reduced insolation and modest winds, consistent with climatological early-September averages near 22°C but tempered by the approaching frontal influence. Traders favor the narrow 21–22°C band because ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler outliers that would require significant model shifts in the final 48 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 1. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 1. September?
21°C 43%
22°C 38%
20°C 33%
23°C 19%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
10%
20°C
33%
21°C
33%
22°C
38%
23°C
19%
24°C
6%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 43%
22°C 38%
20°C 33%
23°C 19%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C
$0 Vol.
10%
20°C
$20 Vol.
33%
21°C
$143 Vol.
33%
22°C
$1,139 Vol.
38%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus points to a high of 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 1, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge giving way to a westerly flow that advects cooler maritime air and increases cloud cover and shower chances. Numerical guidance from GFS and similar runs shows daytime maxima suppressed by reduced insolation and modest winds, consistent with climatological early-September averages near 22°C but tempered by the approaching frontal influence. Traders favor the narrow 21–22°C band because ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler outliers that would require significant model shifts in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,302Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus points to a high of 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 1, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge giving way to a westerly flow that advects cooler maritime air and increases cloud cover and shower chances. Numerical guidance from GFS and similar runs shows daytime maxima suppressed by reduced insolation and modest winds, consistent with climatological early-September averages near 22°C but tempered by the approaching frontal influence. Traders favor the narrow 21–22°C band because ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler outliers that would require significant model shifts in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,302Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus points to a high of 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 1, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge giving way to a westerly flow that advects cooler maritime air and increases cloud cover and shower chances. Numerical guidance from GFS and similar runs shows daytime maxima suppressed by reduced insolation and modest winds, consistent with climatological early-September averages near 22°C but tempered by the approaching frontal influence. Traders favor the narrow 21–22°C band because ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler outliers that would require significant model shifts in the final 48 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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