Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds over Warsaw through August 30, supporting limited nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures clustered near 13–15°C. Trader consensus around 12–13°C reflects this guidance alongside model spread on cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture that could allow slightly greater cooling, while the 44.5% on 9°C or below captures residual tail risk if clearer, drier air arrives earlier than expected. August climatology places typical overnight lows near 15°C, providing context for the tight distribution between 11–14°C outcomes amid stable high-pressure influence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 30. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 30. August?
9°C or below 88%
10°C 87%
11°C 87%
17°C 87%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
9°C or below
88%
10°C
87%
11°C
87%
12°C
46%
13°C
47%
14°C
85%
15°C
85%
16°C
86%
17°C
87%
18°C
86%
19°C or higher
2%
9°C or below 88%
10°C 87%
11°C 87%
17°C 87%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
9°C or below
$130 Vol.
88%
10°C
$0 Vol.
87%
11°C
$0 Vol.
87%
12°C
$0 Vol.
46%
13°C
$0 Vol.
47%
14°C
$0 Vol.
85%
15°C
$0 Vol.
85%
16°C
$0 Vol.
86%
17°C
$0 Vol.
87%
18°C
$5 Vol.
86%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds over Warsaw through August 30, supporting limited nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures clustered near 13–15°C. Trader consensus around 12–13°C reflects this guidance alongside model spread on cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture that could allow slightly greater cooling, while the 44.5% on 9°C or below captures residual tail risk if clearer, drier air arrives earlier than expected. August climatology places typical overnight lows near 15°C, providing context for the tight distribution between 11–14°C outcomes amid stable high-pressure influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$140Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds over Warsaw through August 30, supporting limited nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures clustered near 13–15°C. Trader consensus around 12–13°C reflects this guidance alongside model spread on cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture that could allow slightly greater cooling, while the 44.5% on 9°C or below captures residual tail risk if clearer, drier air arrives earlier than expected. August climatology places typical overnight lows near 15°C, providing context for the tight distribution between 11–14°C outcomes amid stable high-pressure influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$140Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS indicate partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds over Warsaw through August 30, supporting limited nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures clustered near 13–15°C. Trader consensus around 12–13°C reflects this guidance alongside model spread on cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture that could allow slightly greater cooling, while the 44.5% on 9°C or below captures residual tail risk if clearer, drier air arrives earlier than expected. August climatology places typical overnight lows near 15°C, providing context for the tight distribution between 11–14°C outcomes amid stable high-pressure influence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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