Trader consensus on a 12°C high temperature in Wellington reflects MetService observations recording 12.9°C as the peak so far at Wellington Central, suppressed by a historic storm system delivering over 70 mm of rain since yesterday, persistent cloud cover, and strong southerly gales gusting to 100 km/h from cold Antarctic air. This aligns with official forecasts capping highs at 10–12°C under red heavy rain warnings—now orange—following a state of emergency declaration for widespread flooding. April climatology shows mean maxima near 16°C, but southerly outbreaks limit 20–25% of days below 13°C. Unrealistic clearing for late-day heating could challenge this, though ongoing showers make it improbable; final airport data will confirm resolution by midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wellington on April 21?
12°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$211,818 Vol.
$211,818 Vol.
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$211,818 Vol.
$211,818 Vol.
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus on a 12°C high temperature in Wellington reflects MetService observations recording 12.9°C as the peak so far at Wellington Central, suppressed by a historic storm system delivering over 70 mm of rain since yesterday, persistent cloud cover, and strong southerly gales gusting to 100 km/h from cold Antarctic air. This aligns with official forecasts capping highs at 10–12°C under red heavy rain warnings—now orange—following a state of emergency declaration for widespread flooding. April climatology shows mean maxima near 16°C, but southerly outbreaks limit 20–25% of days below 13°C. Unrealistic clearing for late-day heating could challenge this, though ongoing showers make it improbable; final airport data will confirm resolution by midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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