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icon for Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Oberbürgermeister von Hobart

Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Oberbürgermeister von Hobart

icon for Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Oberbürgermeister von Hobart

Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Oberbürgermeister von Hobart

Marti Zucco 44%

Ryan Posselt 43%

Mike Dutta 42%

Bill Harvey 42%

Polymarket
NEU

Marti Zucco 44%

Ryan Posselt 43%

Mike Dutta 42%

Bill Harvey 42%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Marti Zucco

Marti Zucco

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Ryan Posselt

Ryan Posselt

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Mike Dutta

Mike Dutta

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Bill Harvey

Bill Harvey

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Louise Bloomfield

Louise Bloomfield

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Harvey Lennon

Harvey Lennon

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for John Kelly

John Kelly

$0 Vol.

22%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest, following Anna Reynolds' decision not to seek re-election, features a crowded field of sitting councillors and independents including Marti Zucco, Ryan Posselt, Mike Dutta, Bill Harvey, Louise Bloomfield, and John Kelly. Trader odds remain tightly clustered because nominations have not yet opened and no candidate has established a clear advantage under preferential voting. Recent council divisions over issues such as amalgamation proposals, code-of-conduct matters, rates policy, and internal leadership transitions have underscored the fragmented nature of local support. Further candidate declarations, early polling, or endorsements ahead of the October postal ballot could begin to shift probabilities as preferences consolidate.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
28. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest, following Anna Reynolds' decision not to seek re-election, features a crowded field of sitting councillors and independents including Marti Zucco, Ryan Posselt, Mike Dutta, Bill Harvey, Louise Bloomfield, and John Kelly. Trader odds remain tightly clustered because nominations have not yet opened and no candidate has established a clear advantage under preferential voting. Recent council divisions over issues such as amalgamation proposals, code-of-conduct matters, rates policy, and internal leadership transitions have underscored the fragmented nature of local support. Further candidate declarations, early polling, or endorsements ahead of the October postal ballot could begin to shift probabilities as preferences consolidate.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
28. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Oberbürgermeister von Hobart" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Marti Zucco" mit 44%, gefolgt von „Ryan Posselt" mit 43%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 44¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 44% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Oberbürgermeister von Hobart" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 3, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Oberbürgermeister von Hobart" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Oberbürgermeister von Hobart" ist „Marti Zucco" mit 44%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 44% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Ryan Posselt" mit 43%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Oberbürgermeister von Hobart" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.