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icon for Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in den nördlichen Midlands
Politik·Bürgermeister

Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in den nördlichen Midlands

icon for Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in den nördlichen Midlands
Politik·Bürgermeister

Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in den nördlichen Midlands

Mary Knowles 35%

Andrew McCullagh 30%

Adam Barnett 9%

Wendy Mitchell 7.0%

Polymarket
NEU

Mary Knowles 35%

Andrew McCullagh 30%

Adam Barnett 9%

Wendy Mitchell 7.0%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Mary Knowles

Mary Knowles

$2,651 Vol.

35%

icon for Andrew McCullagh

Andrew McCullagh

$1,014 Vol.

30%

icon for Adam Barnett

Adam Barnett

$553 Vol.

9%

icon for Wendy Mitchell

Wendy Mitchell

$506 Vol.

16%

icon for Angela Offord

Angela Offord

$257 Vol.

2%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).In Tasmania's Northern Midlands Council mayoral race, set for postal voting on October 27, 2026, trader consensus reflects a highly fragmented field where no candidate holds more than about 35% implied probability. Incumbent Mary Knowles faces multiple challengers including Andrew McCullagh, Adam Barnett, Angela Offord, and Wendy Mitchell, with nominations closing September 21. Persistent council tensions over governance, transparency, and past legal disputes continue to shape voter considerations around local infrastructure, community services, and rural priorities. The close pricing stems from this dispersed support and limited recent polling or major campaign shifts. Events such as candidate forums, final nomination announcements, or late developments in council dynamics could consolidate preferences and widen gaps ahead of ballot distribution.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volumen
$4,981
Enddatum
28. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).In Tasmania's Northern Midlands Council mayoral race, set for postal voting on October 27, 2026, trader consensus reflects a highly fragmented field where no candidate holds more than about 35% implied probability. Incumbent Mary Knowles faces multiple challengers including Andrew McCullagh, Adam Barnett, Angela Offord, and Wendy Mitchell, with nominations closing September 21. Persistent council tensions over governance, transparency, and past legal disputes continue to shape voter considerations around local infrastructure, community services, and rural priorities. The close pricing stems from this dispersed support and limited recent polling or major campaign shifts. Events such as candidate forums, final nomination announcements, or late developments in council dynamics could consolidate preferences and widen gaps ahead of ballot distribution.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volumen
$4,981
Enddatum
28. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in den nördlichen Midlands" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Mary Knowles" mit 35%, gefolgt von „Andrew McCullagh" mit 30%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 35¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 35% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in den nördlichen Midlands" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 3, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in den nördlichen Midlands" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 5 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in den nördlichen Midlands" ist „Mary Knowles" mit 35%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 35% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Andrew McCullagh" mit 30%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in den nördlichen Midlands" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.