Market icon
Politik·Trump

Wie spät wird Leavitt zum nächsten Pressebriefing sein?

Market icon
Politik·Trump

Wie spät wird Leavitt zum nächsten Pressebriefing sein?

$8,689 Vol.

Polymarket

$8,689 Vol.

20 - 25 Minuten

$639 Vol.

20%

25 - 30 Minuten

$1,123 Vol.

86%

This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly anticipates White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt arriving 25-30 minutes late to the next press briefing (86.3% implied probability), with 20-25 minutes a distant second (20%), based on her established pattern of delays observed across multiple recent sessions, including the March 30 briefing amid discussions on Iran diplomacy and the March 25 update on domestic priorities. This positioning stems from consistent historical lateness since early 2026—such as February instances noted in media reports—without recent developments signaling a shift, like schedule adjustments or administrative changes. Traders weigh the risk of minor variations from overruns in prior meetings, but the wisdom of crowds reflects high confidence in the 25-30 minute range absent late-breaking alterations.

This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.

If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
Volumen
$8,689
Enddatum
31. März 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 6:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly anticipates White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt arriving 25-30 minutes late to the next press briefing (86.3% implied probability), with 20-25 minutes a distant second (20%), based on her established pattern of delays observed across multiple recent sessions, including the March 30 briefing amid discussions on Iran diplomacy and the March 25 update on domestic priorities. This positioning stems from consistent historical lateness since early 2026—such as February instances noted in media reports—without recent developments signaling a shift, like schedule adjustments or administrative changes. Traders weigh the risk of minor variations from overruns in prior meetings, but the wisdom of crowds reflects high confidence in the 25-30 minute range absent late-breaking alterations.

This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.

If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
Volumen
$8,689
Enddatum
31. März 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 6:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wie spät wird Leavitt zum nächsten Pressebriefing sein?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „25 - 30 Minuten" mit 86%, gefolgt von „20 - 25 Minuten" mit 20%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 86¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 86% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wie spät wird Leavitt zum nächsten Pressebriefing sein?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Mar 29, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wie spät wird Leavitt zum nächsten Pressebriefing sein?" ist „25 - 30 Minuten" mit 86%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 86% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „20 - 25 Minuten" mit 20%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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