Illinois's deep Democratic lean and structural advantages for the party explain trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton at 96.5% in the November 2026 general election for the open Senate seat. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary with 40.4% of the vote, backed by Governor JB Pritzker's endorsement and significant outside spending, defeating a crowded field that included U.S. Representatives Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair who won his March primary with 40%, faces an uphill path in a state where no Republican has won a Senate race since 2010. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic. Recent campaign activity, including Tracy's August 26 calls for debates that Stratton has declined, has not altered the market positioning, which aligns with historical voting patterns and fundraising disparities. Late developments such as scandals or major national shifts could theoretically narrow the gap, though none appear imminent.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$31,812 Vol.
$31,812 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
96%
Don Tracy (R)
4%
$31,812 Vol.
$31,812 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
$16,810 Vol.
96%
Don Tracy (R)
$15,003 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's deep Democratic lean and structural advantages for the party explain trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton at 96.5% in the November 2026 general election for the open Senate seat. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary with 40.4% of the vote, backed by Governor JB Pritzker's endorsement and significant outside spending, defeating a crowded field that included U.S. Representatives Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair who won his March primary with 40%, faces an uphill path in a state where no Republican has won a Senate race since 2010. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic. Recent campaign activity, including Tracy's August 26 calls for debates that Stratton has declined, has not altered the market positioning, which aligns with historical voting patterns and fundraising disparities. Late developments such as scandals or major national shifts could theoretically narrow the gap, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$31,812Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's deep Democratic lean and structural advantages for the party explain trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton at 96.5% in the November 2026 general election for the open Senate seat. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary with 40.4% of the vote, backed by Governor JB Pritzker's endorsement and significant outside spending, defeating a crowded field that included U.S. Representatives Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair who won his March primary with 40%, faces an uphill path in a state where no Republican has won a Senate race since 2010. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic. Recent campaign activity, including Tracy's August 26 calls for debates that Stratton has declined, has not altered the market positioning, which aligns with historical voting patterns and fundraising disparities. Late developments such as scandals or major national shifts could theoretically narrow the gap, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$31,812Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's deep Democratic lean and structural advantages for the party explain trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton at 96.5% in the November 2026 general election for the open Senate seat. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary with 40.4% of the vote, backed by Governor JB Pritzker's endorsement and significant outside spending, defeating a crowded field that included U.S. Representatives Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair who won his March primary with 40%, faces an uphill path in a state where no Republican has won a Senate race since 2010. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic. Recent campaign activity, including Tracy's August 26 calls for debates that Stratton has declined, has not altered the market positioning, which aligns with historical voting patterns and fundraising disparities. Late developments such as scandals or major national shifts could theoretically narrow the gap, though none appear imminent.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen