SpaceX leads trader expectations for an IPO before 2027 at near-certain odds, fueled by confirmed bank interviews and Elon Musk’s acknowledgment of 2026 plans, while Anthropic’s targeted October or Q4 timeline and OpenAI’s confidential filing support 79% and 52% probabilities respectively. AI sector momentum, with companies valued at $850B–$1T seeking capital for compute and expansion, aligns with broader 2026 IPO recovery signals including stabilizing rates and renewed growth appetite. Databricks has signaled a possible push into 2027 amid market volatility, and Stripe remains cautious despite profitability. Key near-term catalysts include any S-1 filings, secondary liquidity updates, or macroeconomic shifts that could accelerate or delay listings for these high-profile names.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSpaceX confirms IPO pricing and share count, finalizing largest IPO ever
SpaceX rises to 100%2%
On June 11, 2026, SpaceX confirmed the pricing of its IPO at $135 per share for 555,555,555 shares, finalizing the largest IPO in history. This official announcement solidified the market's resolution to 'Yes' for SpaceX's IPO.
OpenAI confidentially files for IPO, setting up anticipated market debut
OpenAI confidentially filed its IPO paperwork, confirming its intent to go public in late 2026, which solidified market expectations and caused a price increase in the IPO prediction market.
OpenAI files confidential IPO prospectus, targeting September 2026 debut
OpenAI publicly confirmed its confidential IPO filing in early June 2026, aiming for a September 2026 public debut with a valuation up to $850 billion, intensifying market anticipation.
Databricks CEO says 2026 is a 'terrible year to go public' despite IPO readiness
Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi stated in June 2026 that although the company is IPO-ready, it will delay going public due to an oversaturated IPO market, impacting market expectations for a 2026 IPO.
Databricks CEO reiterates no IPO in 2026, citing market saturation
Databricks drops to 77%8%
Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi reiterated on June 4, 2026, that the company will not go public in 2026 due to a saturated IPO market, despite being IPO-ready and highly valued.
Databricks CEO announces IPO plans for 2026 but delays due to market conditions
Databricks drops to 18%6%
Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi confirmed plans to go public but called 2026 a 'terrible year to go public' due to market saturation, delaying the IPO despite readiness, which lowered market confidence.
SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share, targeting $75 billion raise
SpaceX jumps to 100%5%
SpaceX announced its IPO price at $135 per share in early June 2026, aiming to raise a record $75 billion. This pricing confirmed the IPO's imminent launch and drove the market price to 100% for SpaceX.
SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share targeting $75 billion raise
SpaceX rises to 99%3%
SpaceX announced an IPO price of $135 per share on June 2, 2026, aiming to raise a record $75 billion and valuing the company at $1.77 trillion. This pricing confirmed the company's position for the largest IPO ever, driving market confidence to near certainty.
SpaceX announces IPO price at $135 per share, targeting $75 billion raise
SpaceX rises to 100%2%
SpaceX set its IPO price at $135 per share, aiming to raise $75 billion and achieve a $1.77 trillion valuation, confirming its June 2026 public listing plans.
Anthropic confidentially files for US IPO amid AI market surge
Anthropic surges to 90%40%
Anthropic confidentially filed for a U.S. IPO, joining SpaceX and OpenAI in a highly anticipated wave of AI-related public offerings, with a valuation near $1 trillion.
Anthropic files confidential draft S-1 for IPO
Anthropic dips to 83%4%
Anthropic filed a confidential draft S-1 with the SEC on June 1, 2026, marking a formal step toward its anticipated IPO in late 2026, reinforcing market confidence in its public debut.
Anthropic confidentially files for IPO targeting October 2026 at $965 billion valuation
Anthropic surges to 79%29%
Anthropic filed a confidential S-1 with the SEC on June 1, 2026, aiming for an IPO in October 2026 with a valuation near $965 billion. This filing marked a major milestone for the AI company and increased market confidence in its public listing within 2026.
OpenAI confidentially files for IPO with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley
OpenAI rises to 53%3%
OpenAI filed confidentially for an IPO in early June 2026, targeting a public debut as soon as September 2026 with a valuation between $730 billion and $850 billion, intensifying the AI IPO race.
Anthropic confidentially files draft IPO registration with SEC
Anthropic submitted a confidential draft Form S-1 registration statement to the SEC, preparing for a potential IPO in October 2026 with a valuation near $965 billion.
Anthropic raises $65 billion at $965 billion valuation ahead of IPO
Anthropic raised $65 billion in late May 2026 at a $965 billion valuation, demonstrating strong investor demand and advancing its IPO preparations for late 2026.
Shein shifts IPO plans to Hong Kong after London delays
Shein, after facing regulatory and political hurdles in London, is now working towards an IPO listing in Hong Kong in 2026, leveraging proximity to its supply chain and a smoother regulatory environment.
OpenAI prepares confidential IPO filing for 2026 debut
OpenAI surges to 56%25%
OpenAI prepared to file confidentially for an IPO in May 2026, working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, aiming for a public debut as soon as September 2026 with a valuation up to $850 billion.
OpenAI confidentially files S-1 for IPO targeting Q4 2026 at $852B-$1T valuation
OpenAI surges to 52%22%
OpenAI confidentially filed its S-1 IPO prospectus with the SEC on May 22, 2026, aiming for a public listing as early as September 2026 with a valuation between $852 billion and $1 trillion. This filing significantly increased market optimism about OpenAI's IPO prospects within 2026.
OpenAI confidentially files for IPO, targeting September 2026 debut
OpenAI surges to 78%49%
OpenAI filed confidentially for an IPO in late May 2026, aiming for a public debut as soon as September 2026, marking a major milestone for the AI IPO wave.
SpaceX files for IPO revealing $18 billion revenue in 2025
SpaceX filed its S-1 with the SEC on May 20, 2026, targeting a valuation between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion, marking one of the largest IPOs in history. The filing disclosed $18 billion in 2025 revenue, with Starlink as the main revenue driver, fueling market confidence in the IPO.
SpaceX publicly files IPO prospectus and plans Nasdaq listing
SpaceX jumps to 95%10%
SpaceX publicly circulated its IPO prospectus in May 2026, confirming plans to list on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX. The filing disclosed $18.67 billion in 2025 revenue and a $1.75 trillion valuation, significantly boosting market confidence and price.
OpenAI preparing confidential IPO filing for late 2026
OpenAI surges to 76%44%
OpenAI was reported to be preparing to file confidentially for an IPO, working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, increasing market confidence in a late 2026 IPO.
OpenAI prepares confidential IPO filing for late 2026 debut
OpenAI is preparing to file confidentially for an IPO in 2026, working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, targeting a public debut possibly as early as September 2026 with a valuation near $850 billion.
Anthropic targets October 2026 IPO, hires law firm Wilson Sonsini
Anthropic surges to 88%18%
Anthropic is preparing for an IPO as early as October 2026, having hired Wilson Sonsini for legal and regulatory preparation, signaling serious intent to go public and boosting market confidence.
Anthropic announces $950 billion valuation pre-IPO investment opportunity
Anthropic jumps to 78%6%
Anthropic's pre-IPO investment round at a $950 billion valuation indicated strong investor interest and readiness for a large IPO, supporting market confidence in a 2026 public offering.
Remote acquires expense management platform Atlas to bolster HR and payroll
Remote drops to 22%8%
Remote acquired Atlas to enhance its HR and payroll platform, signaling growth but with no confirmed IPO plans, contributing to low market confidence in a near-term IPO.
Shein faces regulatory investigations and IPO delays amid valuation pressure
Shein's IPO timeline has been delayed due to regulatory investigations in Europe and the US, including data privacy and labor practice concerns. These challenges have pressured its valuation and complicated its planned Hong Kong or London IPO in 2026.
Rippling shows no IPO filing or announcement, CEO says no near-term plans
Rippling plunges to 26%24%
Rippling has not filed for an IPO and CEO Parker Conrad stated that an IPO is not in near-term plans, with analysts expecting a 2027 or later listing.
Canva fined $800k for late financial filings ahead of IPO
Canva dips to 21%4%
In April 2026, Australian regulator ASIC fined Canva nearly $800,000 for late financial report filings, raising concerns about governance ahead of its planned IPO, contributing to a decline in market confidence.
Canva announces AI-driven platform transformation and acquisition spree
Canva drops to 11%12%
In April 2026, Canva announced a strategic pivot to AI-powered design ecosystem and acquired multiple AI startups, delaying its IPO to 2027 to solidify its new business model, impacting market confidence negatively in the short term.
SpaceX confidentially files S-1 for IPO targeting June 2026
SpaceX jumps to 85%11%
SpaceX confidentially filed its S-1 with the SEC in early April 2026, preparing for a June IPO. This filing was a critical step toward the public offering and drove significant market price increases for SpaceX's IPO outcome.
SpaceX confidentially files IPO with SEC
SpaceX rises to 94%1%
SpaceX submitted a confidential IPO filing to the SEC on April 1, 2026, officially starting the regulatory process for its planned June IPO, which boosted market confidence to near certainty.
Shein confirms IPO plans amid regulatory challenges
SHEIN plunges to 20%25%
Shein confirmed it will proceed with IPO plans, shifting focus to a London or Hong Kong listing after US and UK regulatory hurdles, aiming for a 2026 IPO with a valuation between $30-50 billion.
Databricks announces $850 million UK investment, expanding footprint
Databricks rises to 51%1%
Databricks announced a major $850 million investment in the UK, including a new large London headquarters, signaling growth and IPO readiness despite no confirmed date.
Discord sets IPO date for March 31, 2026
Discord jumps to 65%6%
Discord announced its IPO date as March 31, 2026, marking a key milestone for the company transitioning to public markets. This confirmation supported market confidence and price increases in the prediction market.
Databricks announces $850 million UK investment and expands London HQ
Databricks plunges to 32%18%
Databricks announced a major $850 million investment in the UK and expanded its London headquarters, signaling ongoing growth and IPO readiness, supporting market expectations for a 2026 IPO.
WHOOP raises $575 million at $10.1 billion valuation, signals IPO ahead
WHOOP jumps to 38%13%
WHOOP completed a $575 million Series G funding round at a $10.1 billion valuation, with CEO Will Ahmed stating this would likely be the last private round before an IPO. This funding round and public statements increased market expectations for a WHOOP IPO, though the timing remains uncertain and likely delayed beyond 2026.
Mistral AI raises $830 million debt for data center expansion
Mistral AI rises to 20%4%
Mistral AI secured $830 million in debt financing in March 2026 to expand data center capacity near Paris and Sweden, signaling growth but with no immediate IPO plans. The CEO has indicated the IPO is a long-term goal, not imminent, which aligns with the market's low IPO probability for 2026.
Remote reaches peak market interest amid IPO speculation
Remote surges to 60%45%
Remote's market price peaked in mid-March 2026 amid speculation about potential IPO or acquisition, but no confirmed IPO filing or date has been announced, leading to declining confidence later.
Whoop announces 600-person hiring drive signaling IPO plans
WHOOP drops to 37%13%
Whoop announced plans to hire over 600 employees in 2026, a 75% workforce increase, explicitly linked to preparing for an IPO, reinforcing market expectations for a public offering.
Supreme Court ruling on Trump tariffs complicates Shein IPO plans
SHEIN drops to 20%9%
A Supreme Court ruling ending a tariff loophole increased regulatory and cost pressures on Shein, complicating its IPO plans and contributing to a decline in market IPO probability.
Databricks CEO says 2026 is a terrible year to go public, IPO delayed
Databricks drops to 50%8%
Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi stated in February 2026 that 2026 is a terrible year to go public, signaling a delay in the IPO despite being IPO-ready, causing price volatility.
SpaceX merges with xAI ahead of IPO
SpaceX jumps to 84%10%
SpaceX completed an all-stock merger with xAI in February 2026, increasing its valuation to $1.25 trillion and integrating AI capabilities, which strengthened its IPO narrative and market valuation.
Mistral AI CEO states IPO is a long-term plan, not imminent
Mistral AI's CEO clarified in early 2026 that while an IPO is the plan, it is a long-term goal and not expected imminently, reflecting the company's current focus on private funding and growth.
Databricks raises $1.8 billion in debt signaling IPO preparation
Databricks plunges to 23%27%
Databricks secured $1.8 billion in additional debt financing led by JPMorgan in January 2026, indicating accelerated IPO preparation, though CEO Ali Ghodsi later stated 2026 is a "terrible year to go public," suggesting a delay.
Rippling CEO states IPO not in near-term plans
Rippling plunges to 28%22%
In a May 2025 interview and subsequent reports through 2026, Rippling's CEO Parker Conrad publicly stated that an IPO is not planned in the near term, with analysts expecting a public offering in 2027 or 2028. This stance contributed to low market confidence in a 2026 IPO for Rippling.
Databricks secures $1.8 billion debt financing ahead of IPO
Databricks plunges to 23%27%
Databricks raised $1.8 billion in additional debt financing, signaling accelerated IPO preparation though no specific date has been confirmed yet.
Discord confidentially files for IPO targeting March 2026 debut
Discord jumps to 62%9%
Discord filed confidentially with the SEC for an IPO, working with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase, aiming for a March 2026 public debut, which increased market confidence in its IPO likelihood.
Discord confidentially files for US IPO targeting 2026 listing
Discord jumps to 62%9%
Discord filed confidentially for a US IPO on January 6, 2026, with plans to go public in 2026. This filing followed years of speculation and increased market confidence in Discord's IPO prospects, though the exact timing and valuation remain uncertain.
Databricks closes $4 billion Series L funding at $134 billion valuation
Databricks jumps to 50%10%
Databricks announced a massive $4 billion Series L funding round at a $134 billion valuation, signaling strong institutional interest and accelerating IPO preparations for 2026.
Databricks announces $4 billion Series L funding at $134 billion valuation
Databricks jumps to 56%6%
Databricks raised $4 billion in a Series L funding round at a $134 billion valuation, signaling strong institutional interest and IPO preparation for 2026. This large funding round increased market confidence in a potential IPO.
SpaceX pursues 2026 IPO raising over $30 billion
SpaceX surges to 80%42%
SpaceX announced plans to pursue an IPO in 2026 aiming to raise significantly above $30 billion, signaling the start of its public offering preparations and boosting market confidence in its IPO prospects.
Anthropic hires law firm to prepare for 2026 IPO
Anthropic engaged Wilson Sonsini in December 2025 to lead IPO preparations, signaling serious intent to go public in 2026. This news boosted market confidence and price for Anthropic's IPO prospects.
Anthropic hires law firm to prepare for 2026 IPO
Anthropic jumps to 62%12%
Anthropic engaged Wilson Sonsini to prepare for an IPO potentially as early as 2026, signaling early steps toward going public and increasing market expectations for a 2026 IPO.
Canva's largest investor signals readiness for second-half 2026 IPO
Canva plunges to 23%24%
Blackbird, Canva's largest venture investor, told its LPs in November 2025 that Canva is ready for a second-half 2026 IPO, though no public filing or date has been announced.
Canva COO signals imminent IPO within next couple of years
Canva's COO Cliff Obrecht stated in November 2025 that an IPO is probably imminent within the next couple of years, fueling market expectations for a 2026 IPO. This announcement increased investor interest and price optimism for Canva's IPO.
Whoop CEO signals IPO consideration in 2026
Whoop's founder and CEO Will Ahmed publicly stated in November 2025 that the company is considering going public, signaling early market expectations for an IPO in 2026. This announcement contributed to initial market interest in Whoop's IPO prospects.
Whoop CEO confirms IPO consideration within two years
Whoop's CEO Will Ahmed publicly stated the company is considering going public within two years, signaling early IPO plans and growth ambitions. This announcement increased market expectations for Whoop's IPO.
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