Official records establish Jeffrey Epstein's death by suicide in August 2019 while in federal custody, with the medical examiner's ruling, autopsy evidence, and a June 2026 New York Times investigation detailing prior suicide attempts, institutional lapses, and no verified signs of survival. Ongoing document releases and congressional probes into associates have produced no credible confirmation or sighting that would support him being alive. Traders assign 98% probability to "No" before 2027 because years of public scrutiny, conspiracy claims, and forensic reviews have yielded only the original determination. Rare scenarios that could still shift odds include authenticated new forensic evidence or an official government statement emerging in the remaining months of 2026, though none has surfaced.