The open gubernatorial seat in Kansas, created by term limits on two-term Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly, has shaped trader consensus around Republican nominee Ty Masterson. Primaries on August 4 produced clear party standard-bearers, with Masterson defeating his Republican field and securing endorsement from President Trump, while Democrat Cindy Holscher prevailed on her side. Kansas's underlying Republican tilt, evident in presidential and legislative results, supports the current 63.5% Republican implied probability despite the state's recent Democratic gubernatorial successes. Forecasts rate the contest as leaning Republican, with the general election set for November 3, 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$18,138 Vol.
$18,138 Vol.

Republikaner
62%

Demokrat
38%
$18,138 Vol.
$18,138 Vol.

Republikaner
62%

Demokrat
38%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open gubernatorial seat in Kansas, created by term limits on two-term Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly, has shaped trader consensus around Republican nominee Ty Masterson. Primaries on August 4 produced clear party standard-bearers, with Masterson defeating his Republican field and securing endorsement from President Trump, while Democrat Cindy Holscher prevailed on her side. Kansas's underlying Republican tilt, evident in presidential and legislative results, supports the current 63.5% Republican implied probability despite the state's recent Democratic gubernatorial successes. Forecasts rate the contest as leaning Republican, with the general election set for November 3, 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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