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icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Goldman Sachs 84%

Morgan Stanley 16%

JPMorgan <1%

Bank of America <1%

Polymarket

$53,417 Vol.

Goldman Sachs 84%

Morgan Stanley 16%

JPMorgan <1%

Bank of America <1%

Polymarket

$53,417 Vol.

icon for Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs

$14,430 Vol.

84%

icon for Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley

$9,528 Vol.

16%

icon for JPMorgan

JPMorgan

$4,058 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bank of America

Bank of America

$2,622 Vol.

<1%

icon for Citigroup

Citigroup

$2,778 Vol.

<1%

icon for Barclays

Barclays

$3,728 Vol.

<1%

icon for UBS

UBS

$3,696 Vol.

<1%

icon for Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank

$9,213 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wells Fargo

Wells Fargo

$3,363 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds an 83.5% market-implied probability of leading OpenAI’s IPO, reflecting its recent selection as lead left on the SpaceX offering and primary advisory role alongside Morgan Stanley in OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing. The artificial intelligence company’s preparations for a potential listing—targeting up to $1 trillion valuation—have centered on these two banks as top book runners, with Goldman benefiting from its dominant position in major tech debuts and established relationships in the sector. Morgan Stanley trails at 15.5% due to comparable involvement but less decisive execution momentum. Recent statements from CEO Sam Altman indicating a 2027 timeline amid AI safety priorities have not shifted the core underwriter dynamics, though any final “lead left” designation on the prospectus remains the key resolution trigger.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$53,417
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027
Markt eröffnet
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds an 83.5% market-implied probability of leading OpenAI’s IPO, reflecting its recent selection as lead left on the SpaceX offering and primary advisory role alongside Morgan Stanley in OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing. The artificial intelligence company’s preparations for a potential listing—targeting up to $1 trillion valuation—have centered on these two banks as top book runners, with Goldman benefiting from its dominant position in major tech debuts and established relationships in the sector. Morgan Stanley trails at 15.5% due to comparable involvement but less decisive execution momentum. Recent statements from CEO Sam Altman indicating a 2027 timeline amid AI safety priorities have not shifted the core underwriter dynamics, though any final “lead left” designation on the prospectus remains the key resolution trigger.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$53,417
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027
Markt eröffnet
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

59%
icon for Wird die Marktkapitalisierung von OpenAI am Tag des Börsengangs bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 bei Börsenschluss 1,5 Billionen US-Dollar oder mehr betragen?

Wird die Marktkapitalisierung von OpenAI am Tag des Börsengangs bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 bei Börsenschluss 1,5 Billionen US-Dollar oder mehr betragen?

66%
Ja
icon for OpenAI-Börsengang schließt mit einer Marktkapitalisierung von über 800 Milliarden US-Dollar?

OpenAI-Börsengang schließt mit einer Marktkapitalisierung von über 800 Milliarden US-Dollar?

93%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Goldman Sachs" mit 84%, gefolgt von „Morgan Stanley" mit 16%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 84¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 84% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $53.4K generiert, seit der Markt am May 21, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 9 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" ist „Goldman Sachs" mit 84%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 84% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Morgan Stanley" mit 16%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.