Trader consensus on a 26°C minimum temperature in Lucknow on August 21 reflects strong alignment in India Meteorological Department forecasts and observational data during peak southwest monsoon conditions. Typical August lows hover near 26–28°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling, with recent model runs and station reports converging on this threshold rather than cooler or warmer extremes. Historical climatology supports this range, as monsoon moisture suppresses sharp temperature drops. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include unexpected clear-sky periods enhancing radiative cooling below 26°C or delayed rainfall allowing greater daytime heating to influence the daily minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Lucknow am 21. August?
26°C 100.0%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
$2,804 Vol.
$2,804 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
$2,804 Vol.
$2,804 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus on a 26°C minimum temperature in Lucknow on August 21 reflects strong alignment in India Meteorological Department forecasts and observational data during peak southwest monsoon conditions. Typical August lows hover near 26–28°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling, with recent model runs and station reports converging on this threshold rather than cooler or warmer extremes. Historical climatology supports this range, as monsoon moisture suppresses sharp temperature drops. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include unexpected clear-sky periods enhancing radiative cooling below 26°C or delayed rainfall allowing greater daytime heating to influence the daily minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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