Persistent warm, humid maritime tropical air over South Florida is positioning Miami's August 3 overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s, with the 80–81°F range holding the highest market-implied probability. Elevated dew points limit radiational cooling under typical summer conditions, while light winds and possible cloud cover from the subtropical ridge further suppress temperature drops. Recent model consensus from NOAA shows minimal frontal influence or tropical moisture enhancements through the period, keeping readings near or slightly above seasonal normals around 78–80°F. Traders are weighting the narrow 76–83°F window heavily due to forecast stability, though minor shifts in wind patterns or increased convection could adjust the minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 3. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 3. August?
80-81°F 39%
78-79°F 22%
76-77°F 14%
82-83°F 14%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
67°F oder darunter
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
11%
30°C oder höher
1%
80-81°F 39%
78-79°F 22%
76-77°F 14%
82-83°F 14%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
67°F oder darunter
$0 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$25 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$136 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$307 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$11 Vol.
14%
78-79°F
$104 Vol.
22%
80-81°F
$75 Vol.
39%
82-83°F
$12 Vol.
14%
84-85°F
$72 Vol.
11%
30°C oder höher
$142 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid maritime tropical air over South Florida is positioning Miami's August 3 overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s, with the 80–81°F range holding the highest market-implied probability. Elevated dew points limit radiational cooling under typical summer conditions, while light winds and possible cloud cover from the subtropical ridge further suppress temperature drops. Recent model consensus from NOAA shows minimal frontal influence or tropical moisture enhancements through the period, keeping readings near or slightly above seasonal normals around 78–80°F. Traders are weighting the narrow 76–83°F window heavily due to forecast stability, though minor shifts in wind patterns or increased convection could adjust the minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$890Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid maritime tropical air over South Florida is positioning Miami's August 3 overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s, with the 80–81°F range holding the highest market-implied probability. Elevated dew points limit radiational cooling under typical summer conditions, while light winds and possible cloud cover from the subtropical ridge further suppress temperature drops. Recent model consensus from NOAA shows minimal frontal influence or tropical moisture enhancements through the period, keeping readings near or slightly above seasonal normals around 78–80°F. Traders are weighting the narrow 76–83°F window heavily due to forecast stability, though minor shifts in wind patterns or increased convection could adjust the minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$890Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm, humid maritime tropical air over South Florida is positioning Miami's August 3 overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s, with the 80–81°F range holding the highest market-implied probability. Elevated dew points limit radiational cooling under typical summer conditions, while light winds and possible cloud cover from the subtropical ridge further suppress temperature drops. Recent model consensus from NOAA shows minimal frontal influence or tropical moisture enhancements through the period, keeping readings near or slightly above seasonal normals around 78–80°F. Traders are weighting the narrow 76–83°F window heavily due to forecast stability, though minor shifts in wind patterns or increased convection could adjust the minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen