The official minimum temperature at San Francisco International Airport on August 21 reached exactly 58°F shortly after dawn, matching the 1991–2020 normal of 57°F and recent preceding days. Marine-layer stratus and moderate westerly flow suppressed overnight radiative cooling while preventing significant warming, producing a low squarely in the 58–59°F bin now carrying 85.5% implied probability. Earlier uncertainty around 56–57°F (47%) reflected model spread and station-to-station differences before the final NWS observation locked in the value. Historical analogs for the date show lows rarely dip below 52°F without stronger offshore flow, keeping lower buckets near zero.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in San Francisco am 21. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in San Francisco am 21. August?
58-59°F 90%
52-53°F 31%
56-57°F 25%
54-55°F 24%
$4,304 Vol.
$4,304 Vol.
21. Aug. 2026
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
25%
58-59°F
86%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
<1%
58-59°F 90%
52-53°F 31%
56-57°F 25%
54-55°F 24%
$4,304 Vol.
$4,304 Vol.
21. Aug. 2026
49°F or below
$335 Vol.
1%
50-51°F
$326 Vol.
1%
52-53°F
$163 Vol.
31%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
24%
56-57°F
$2 Vol.
25%
58-59°F
$85 Vol.
86%
60-61°F
$691 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$264 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$389 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$802 Vol.
<1%
68°F or higher
$1,245 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The official minimum temperature at San Francisco International Airport on August 21 reached exactly 58°F shortly after dawn, matching the 1991–2020 normal of 57°F and recent preceding days. Marine-layer stratus and moderate westerly flow suppressed overnight radiative cooling while preventing significant warming, producing a low squarely in the 58–59°F bin now carrying 85.5% implied probability. Earlier uncertainty around 56–57°F (47%) reflected model spread and station-to-station differences before the final NWS observation locked in the value. Historical analogs for the date show lows rarely dip below 52°F without stronger offshore flow, keeping lower buckets near zero.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volumen
$4,304Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The official minimum temperature at San Francisco International Airport on August 21 reached exactly 58°F shortly after dawn, matching the 1991–2020 normal of 57°F and recent preceding days. Marine-layer stratus and moderate westerly flow suppressed overnight radiative cooling while preventing significant warming, producing a low squarely in the 58–59°F bin now carrying 85.5% implied probability. Earlier uncertainty around 56–57°F (47%) reflected model spread and station-to-station differences before the final NWS observation locked in the value. Historical analogs for the date show lows rarely dip below 52°F without stronger offshore flow, keeping lower buckets near zero.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,304Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The official minimum temperature at San Francisco International Airport on August 21 reached exactly 58°F shortly after dawn, matching the 1991–2020 normal of 57°F and recent preceding days. Marine-layer stratus and moderate westerly flow suppressed overnight radiative cooling while preventing significant warming, producing a low squarely in the 58–59°F bin now carrying 85.5% implied probability. Earlier uncertainty around 56–57°F (47%) reflected model spread and station-to-station differences before the final NWS observation locked in the value. Historical analogs for the date show lows rarely dip below 52°F without stronger offshore flow, keeping lower buckets near zero.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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