Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS model ensembles, projects Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15 at 10–12°C under stable spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds, anchoring trader consensus at 29.1% for 12°C, 23.3% for 11°C, and 18.4% for 10°C. This tight clustering reflects minimal cold air advection and urban heat island effects mitigating deeper cooling, though model spreads highlight uncertainty from overnight cloud cover variations—persistent low clouds could insulate for 12°C minima via reduced radiational cooling, while intermittent clears and calm winds favor 10–11°C. Historical mid-April lows average 8–10°C, but recent mild days without fronts have shifted odds higher. KMA's evening update and April 14 observations will sharpen guidance before official station resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 15. April?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 15. April?
12°C 29.1%
11°C 19.4%
10°C 17.6%
9°C 5.5%
NEU
$25,835 Vol.
NEU
$25,835 Vol.
16. Apr. 2026
8°C oder darunter
2%
9°C
5%
10°C
18%
11°C
19%
12°C
29%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C oder höher
<1%
12°C 29.1%
11°C 19.4%
10°C 17.6%
9°C 5.5%
NEU
$25,835 Vol.
NEU
$25,835 Vol.
16. Apr. 2026
8°C oder darunter
$1,350 Vol.
2%
9°C
$722 Vol.
5%
10°C
$1,402 Vol.
18%
11°C
$1,007 Vol.
19%
12°C
$824 Vol.
29%
13°C
$1,095 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,571 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,864 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$2,512 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$6,962 Vol.
<1%
18°C oder höher
$5,561 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS model ensembles, projects Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15 at 10–12°C under stable spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds, anchoring trader consensus at 29.1% for 12°C, 23.3% for 11°C, and 18.4% for 10°C. This tight clustering reflects minimal cold air advection and urban heat island effects mitigating deeper cooling, though model spreads highlight uncertainty from overnight cloud cover variations—persistent low clouds could insulate for 12°C minima via reduced radiational cooling, while intermittent clears and calm winds favor 10–11°C. Historical mid-April lows average 8–10°C, but recent mild days without fronts have shifted odds higher. KMA's evening update and April 14 observations will sharpen guidance before official station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 13, 2026, 8:17 PM ET
Volumen
$25,835Enddatum
16. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 8:17 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS model ensembles, projects Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15 at 10–12°C under stable spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds, anchoring trader consensus at 29.1% for 12°C, 23.3% for 11°C, and 18.4% for 10°C. This tight clustering reflects minimal cold air advection and urban heat island effects mitigating deeper cooling, though model spreads highlight uncertainty from overnight cloud cover variations—persistent low clouds could insulate for 12°C minima via reduced radiational cooling, while intermittent clears and calm winds favor 10–11°C. Historical mid-April lows average 8–10°C, but recent mild days without fronts have shifted odds higher. KMA's evening update and April 14 observations will sharpen guidance before official station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$25,835Enddatum
16. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 8:17 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS model ensembles, projects Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15 at 10–12°C under stable spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds, anchoring trader consensus at 29.1% for 12°C, 23.3% for 11°C, and 18.4% for 10°C. This tight clustering reflects minimal cold air advection and urban heat island effects mitigating deeper cooling, though model spreads highlight uncertainty from overnight cloud cover variations—persistent low clouds could insulate for 12°C minima via reduced radiational cooling, while intermittent clears and calm winds favor 10–11°C. Historical mid-April lows average 8–10°C, but recent mild days without fronts have shifted odds higher. KMA's evening update and April 14 observations will sharpen guidance before official station resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen