Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast for Incheon International Airport—the market's resolution station—projects a daytime high of 22°C on April 14 under mostly cloudy morning conditions transitioning to clear afternoon skies, with light easterly winds shifting variable at 2–6 knots. This aligns with clustered trader sentiment favoring 21–24°C outcomes, as hourly details show peak heating around midday to early afternoon if solar insolation prevails, though persistent morning clouds or haze could cap temperatures at 21°C. ECMWF and GFS ensembles exhibit divergence in cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, contributing to the tight probabilities amid above-normal mid-April warmth (historical averages ~18°C). Updated KMA guidance expected April 13 morning; real-time observations will refine the peak before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seoul on April 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 14?
21°C 19%
18°C 16%
19°C 16%
22°C 14%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
5%
17°C
11%
18°C
16%
19°C
16%
20°C
12%
21°C
19%
22°C
14%
23°C
11%
24°C or higher
11%
21°C 19%
18°C 16%
19°C 16%
22°C 14%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
5%
17°C
11%
18°C
16%
19°C
16%
20°C
12%
21°C
19%
22°C
14%
23°C
11%
24°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 12, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast for Incheon International Airport—the market's resolution station—projects a daytime high of 22°C on April 14 under mostly cloudy morning conditions transitioning to clear afternoon skies, with light easterly winds shifting variable at 2–6 knots. This aligns with clustered trader sentiment favoring 21–24°C outcomes, as hourly details show peak heating around midday to early afternoon if solar insolation prevails, though persistent morning clouds or haze could cap temperatures at 21°C. ECMWF and GFS ensembles exhibit divergence in cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, contributing to the tight probabilities amid above-normal mid-April warmth (historical averages ~18°C). Updated KMA guidance expected April 13 morning; real-time observations will refine the peak before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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