Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 29°C (37.5% implied probability) and 28°C (33.5%) for Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast—issued April 11 at 20:00—of 29°C under mostly cloudy conditions with south winds at 3-4 levels and 70-95% humidity. Yesterday's peak of 28.8°C amid similar southerly flow and partial cloud cover sets a warm baseline, exceeding April's climatological average high of 26°C, as persistent advection of moist air from the South China Sea boosts potential but high humidity and occasional local showers curb solar insolation. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud breaks favoring 29°C or thicker overcast limiting to 28°C; updated Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau guidance expected early April 12 could sharpen odds ahead of observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 12?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 12?
29°C 33%
28°C 33%
30°C 21%
27°C 4.8%
$24,763 Vol.
$24,763 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
33%
29°C
33%
30°C
22%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 33%
28°C 33%
30°C 21%
27°C 4.8%
$24,763 Vol.
$24,763 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
33%
29°C
33%
30°C
22%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 29°C (37.5% implied probability) and 28°C (33.5%) for Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast—issued April 11 at 20:00—of 29°C under mostly cloudy conditions with south winds at 3-4 levels and 70-95% humidity. Yesterday's peak of 28.8°C amid similar southerly flow and partial cloud cover sets a warm baseline, exceeding April's climatological average high of 26°C, as persistent advection of moist air from the South China Sea boosts potential but high humidity and occasional local showers curb solar insolation. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud breaks favoring 29°C or thicker overcast limiting to 28°C; updated Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau guidance expected early April 12 could sharpen odds ahead of observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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