Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C in Taipei on April 11, driven by confirmed observational data from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) at the Taipei Songshan Airport station, which recorded a peak of 33°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering summer-like warmth atypical for early April. Stable atmospheric conditions, including mostly clear skies and light winds, allowed daytime heating to surpass initial forecasts of 28–31°C, aligning with CWA updates noting potential 33°C highs in the Taipei Basin amid ongoing warm anomalies. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time station telemetry, with historical April averages around 25–26°C providing context for the outlier event. Realistic challenges would require rare CWA data revision from equipment error or recalibration, though final daily summaries expected shortly affirm the reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on April 11?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 11?
33°C 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C or higher <1%
$151,048 Vol.
$151,048 Vol.
11. Apr. 2026
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C or higher <1%
$151,048 Vol.
$151,048 Vol.
11. Apr. 2026
33°C
$29,909 Vol.
100%
34°C
$14,373 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$14,511 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$14,817 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C in Taipei on April 11, driven by confirmed observational data from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) at the Taipei Songshan Airport station, which recorded a peak of 33°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering summer-like warmth atypical for early April. Stable atmospheric conditions, including mostly clear skies and light winds, allowed daytime heating to surpass initial forecasts of 28–31°C, aligning with CWA updates noting potential 33°C highs in the Taipei Basin amid ongoing warm anomalies. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time station telemetry, with historical April averages around 25–26°C providing context for the outlier event. Realistic challenges would require rare CWA data revision from equipment error or recalibration, though final daily summaries expected shortly affirm the reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 7, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
Volumen
$151,048Enddatum
11. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 7, 2026, 1:18 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C in Taipei on April 11, driven by confirmed observational data from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) at the Taipei Songshan Airport station, which recorded a peak of 33°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering summer-like warmth atypical for early April. Stable atmospheric conditions, including mostly clear skies and light winds, allowed daytime heating to surpass initial forecasts of 28–31°C, aligning with CWA updates noting potential 33°C highs in the Taipei Basin amid ongoing warm anomalies. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time station telemetry, with historical April averages around 25–26°C providing context for the outlier event. Realistic challenges would require rare CWA data revision from equipment error or recalibration, though final daily summaries expected shortly affirm the reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$151,048Enddatum
11. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 7, 2026, 1:18 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C in Taipei on April 11, driven by confirmed observational data from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) at the Taipei Songshan Airport station, which recorded a peak of 33°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering summer-like warmth atypical for early April. Stable atmospheric conditions, including mostly clear skies and light winds, allowed daytime heating to surpass initial forecasts of 28–31°C, aligning with CWA updates noting potential 33°C highs in the Taipei Basin amid ongoing warm anomalies. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time station telemetry, with historical April averages around 25–26°C providing context for the outlier event. Realistic challenges would require rare CWA data revision from equipment error or recalibration, though final daily summaries expected shortly affirm the reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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