National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the typical resolution site, project a high temperature of 47-50°F on April 11 under partly cloudy skies and light east-northeast winds around 5-10 mph, driving the market's 99.6% implied probability on 46°F or higher. This consensus stems from stable model guidance over the past 24 hours, including consistent GFS and NAM runs showing no disruptive cold fronts or precipitation, with overnight lows near 37°F supporting diurnal warming into the upper 40s. Trader sentiment reflects high-confidence short-range predictions backed by real capital, though realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence, sudden wind shifts from the north, or denser cloud cover capping highs below 46°F—scenarios with low likelihood per current ensemble data. Observations will finalize by late afternoon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 11. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Chicago am 11. April?
46°F oder höher 99.6%
44-45°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$116,208 Vol.
$116,208 Vol.
11. Apr. 2026
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46°F oder höher
100%
46°F oder höher 99.6%
44-45°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$116,208 Vol.
$116,208 Vol.
11. Apr. 2026
38-39°F
$4,973 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$4,784 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$12,636 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$13,045 Vol.
<1%
46°F oder höher
$63,403 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the typical resolution site, project a high temperature of 47-50°F on April 11 under partly cloudy skies and light east-northeast winds around 5-10 mph, driving the market's 99.6% implied probability on 46°F or higher. This consensus stems from stable model guidance over the past 24 hours, including consistent GFS and NAM runs showing no disruptive cold fronts or precipitation, with overnight lows near 37°F supporting diurnal warming into the upper 40s. Trader sentiment reflects high-confidence short-range predictions backed by real capital, though realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence, sudden wind shifts from the north, or denser cloud cover capping highs below 46°F—scenarios with low likelihood per current ensemble data. Observations will finalize by late afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$116,208Enddatum
11. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the typical resolution site, project a high temperature of 47-50°F on April 11 under partly cloudy skies and light east-northeast winds around 5-10 mph, driving the market's 99.6% implied probability on 46°F or higher. This consensus stems from stable model guidance over the past 24 hours, including consistent GFS and NAM runs showing no disruptive cold fronts or precipitation, with overnight lows near 37°F supporting diurnal warming into the upper 40s. Trader sentiment reflects high-confidence short-range predictions backed by real capital, though realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence, sudden wind shifts from the north, or denser cloud cover capping highs below 46°F—scenarios with low likelihood per current ensemble data. Observations will finalize by late afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$116,208Enddatum
11. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the typical resolution site, project a high temperature of 47-50°F on April 11 under partly cloudy skies and light east-northeast winds around 5-10 mph, driving the market's 99.6% implied probability on 46°F or higher. This consensus stems from stable model guidance over the past 24 hours, including consistent GFS and NAM runs showing no disruptive cold fronts or precipitation, with overnight lows near 37°F supporting diurnal warming into the upper 40s. Trader sentiment reflects high-confidence short-range predictions backed by real capital, though realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence, sudden wind shifts from the north, or denser cloud cover capping highs below 46°F—scenarios with low likelihood per current ensemble data. Observations will finalize by late afternoon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen