Official hourly observations from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport station (ZSPD), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature peaked at 18°C around midday on April 11, driving trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy skies, mist, and light rain suppressed further warming, with temperatures dropping to 15°C by late afternoon amid southerly winds and post-frontal cooling patterns typical for early April in Shanghai, where historical highs average 18–19°C. While forecast models like ECMWF align with this cap, a rare late-evening clear-sky surge could challenge it, though current atmospheric stability makes exceeding 18°C highly improbable as the market nears resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 11?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 11?
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$269,544 Vol.
$269,544 Vol.
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$269,544 Vol.
$269,544 Vol.
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official hourly observations from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport station (ZSPD), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature peaked at 18°C around midday on April 11, driving trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy skies, mist, and light rain suppressed further warming, with temperatures dropping to 15°C by late afternoon amid southerly winds and post-frontal cooling patterns typical for early April in Shanghai, where historical highs average 18–19°C. While forecast models like ECMWF align with this cap, a rare late-evening clear-sky surge could challenge it, though current atmospheric stability makes exceeding 18°C highly improbable as the market nears resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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