Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 18°C as the leading outcome at 31.5% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 13, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration and international model ensembles indicating post-frontal cooling with persistent overcast skies and possible light showers capping daytime highs around 17–20°C. Recent developments over the past 48 hours—a passing frontal system delivering clouds and intermittent rain—have suppressed recent highs to 18–20°C, aligning with April climatological norms of average peaks near 19°C. High uncertainty stems from model divergence on cloud clearing and southerly wind strength, which could boost temperatures toward 20°C+ via enhanced insolation or drop them to 16–17°C under prolonged stratus decks. CMA updates and ECMWF/GFS refreshes expected today may sharpen the outlook ahead of tomorrow's resolution based on official observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 13?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 13?
18°C 32%
19°C 21%
17°C 18.7%
20°C or higher 14%
$58,297 Vol.
$58,297 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
10%
17°C
19%
18°C
32%
19°C
21%
20°C or higher
14%
18°C 32%
19°C 21%
17°C 18.7%
20°C or higher 14%
$58,297 Vol.
$58,297 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
10%
17°C
19%
18°C
32%
19°C
21%
20°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 18°C as the leading outcome at 31.5% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 13, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration and international model ensembles indicating post-frontal cooling with persistent overcast skies and possible light showers capping daytime highs around 17–20°C. Recent developments over the past 48 hours—a passing frontal system delivering clouds and intermittent rain—have suppressed recent highs to 18–20°C, aligning with April climatological norms of average peaks near 19°C. High uncertainty stems from model divergence on cloud clearing and southerly wind strength, which could boost temperatures toward 20°C+ via enhanced insolation or drop them to 16–17°C under prolonged stratus decks. CMA updates and ECMWF/GFS refreshes expected today may sharpen the outlook ahead of tomorrow's resolution based on official observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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