Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 13°C or below at 67% implied probability for London's highest temperature today, driven by the Met Office's midday update forecasting a maximum of 15°C under breezy west-southwesterly winds gusting to 35 mph from a frontal system that ended the record early-April heatwave peaking at 26.5°C on April 8 near Kew Gardens. Persistent morning cloud and rain have cleared to sunny spells with isolated showers, but hourly projections show afternoon peaks of only 13-14°C around 3-4 pm, feels-like temperatures dipping to 10-11°C amid limited insolation and cool air advection. Current midday observations near 10°C align with this cool bias, consistent with April climatological averages of 12-15°C; resolution uses Wunderground's daily high, with potential for minor shifts if showers hold off.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in London on April 11?
Highest temperature in London on April 11?
14°C 93%
15°C 6.2%
16°C 1.6%
13°C or below <1%
$213,406 Vol.
$213,406 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
93%
15°C
6%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
14°C 93%
15°C 6.2%
16°C 1.6%
13°C or below <1%
$213,406 Vol.
$213,406 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
93%
15°C
6%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 13°C or below at 67% implied probability for London's highest temperature today, driven by the Met Office's midday update forecasting a maximum of 15°C under breezy west-southwesterly winds gusting to 35 mph from a frontal system that ended the record early-April heatwave peaking at 26.5°C on April 8 near Kew Gardens. Persistent morning cloud and rain have cleared to sunny spells with isolated showers, but hourly projections show afternoon peaks of only 13-14°C around 3-4 pm, feels-like temperatures dipping to 10-11°C amid limited insolation and cool air advection. Current midday observations near 10°C align with this cool bias, consistent with April climatological averages of 12-15°C; resolution uses Wunderground's daily high, with potential for minor shifts if showers hold off.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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